Scottish Premiership Gameweek 25
Mar 4, 2026 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Pittodrie Stadium
  • Kevin Nisbet 19' yellowcard
  • Kenan Bilalovic 62' yellowcard
  • Liam Morrison 62' yellowcard
  • Graeme Shinnie 69' yellowcard
  • Dylan Lobban 79' yellowcard
  • Topi Keskinen 79' yellowcard
  • Topi Keskinen 80' yellowcard
  • goal Kieran Tierney 5'
  • yellowcard Daizen Maeda 61'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Nygren 61'
  • yellowcard James Forrest 65'
  • yellowcard Marcelo Saracchi 65'
  • goal Benjamin Nygren 67'
  • yellowcard Colby Donovan 87'

Aberdeen vs Celtic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberdeen

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
Hearts 1 - 0 Aberdeen
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Kevin Nisbet

Celtic

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 12.00pm
Rangers 2 - 2 Celtic
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Benjamin Nygren

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 47.46%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.81%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 2-1 (7.02%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result

Aberdeen 29.2% (-0.34)
Draw 23.31% (+0.02)
Celtic 47.46% (+0.33)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.28% (-0.25)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.85% (-0.16)
Under 1.5 18.15% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 60.56% (-0.26)
Under 2.5 39.44% (+0.26)
Over 3.5 38.41% (-0.42)
Under 3.5 61.59% (+0.42)
Over 4.5 23.14% (-0.31)
Under 4.5 76.86% (+0.32)

First Half Winner

Aberdeen 27.54% (-0.02)
Draw 38.48%
Celtic 33.98%

Team To Score First

Aberdeen 43.88% (-0.02)
No Goal 4.43% (+0.05)
Celtic 51.69% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 72.05% (-0.11)
Equal 8 9.18% (+0.03)
Under 8 18.77% (+0.08)
Over 9 61.55% (-0.15)
Equal 9 10.5% (+0.02)
Under 9 27.95% (+0.11)
Over 10.5 50.53% (-0.16)
Under 10.5 49.47% (+0.16)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 1.5 35.6% (-0.45)
Under 1.5 64.4% (+0.46)
Over 2.5 14.34% (-0.38)
Under 2.5 85.66% (+0.37)
Over 3.5 4.83% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 95.17% (+0.19)

Celtic Goals

Over 0.5 79.49% (+0.16)
Under 0.5 20.51% (-0.17)
Over 1.5 50.85% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 49.15% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 25.27% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 74.73% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 10.17% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 89.83% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Aberdeen 29.21%
Draw 23.31%
Celtic 47.46%
Aberdeen
2-1 @ 7.02% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 5.89%
2-0 @ 3.9% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 3.31% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 1.7% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.57% (-0.17)
Total : 29.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.5% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 6.44% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 4.43% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.68% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.26% (-0.02)
Total : 23.31%
Celtic
1-2 @ 9.44% (+0.05)
0-1 @ 7.81% (+0.10)
0-2 @ 6.88% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 5.52% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4% (+0.11)
2-3 @ 3.9% (-0.04)
Other @ 9.91%
Total : 47.46%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Dec 21, 2025 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Benjamin Nygren 39' goal
  • Arne Engels 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Kieran Tierney 88' goal
  • James Forrest 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Stuart Armstrong 18'
  • redcard Dylan Lobban 45'+3'
  • goal Kenan Bilalovic 74'
  • yellowcard Alexander Jensen 84'
Scottish Premiership
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Aug 10, 2025 12.30pm
Scottish Premiership
Aug 10, 2025 12.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Cup
May 24, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
ET Ibrox Stadium
  • 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Kasper Schmeichel 83' goal
  • Ante Palaversa 94' yellowcard
  • Mats Knoester 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Alfie Dorrington 39' (OG)
  • yellowcard 45'
  • yellowcard Hyun-Jun Yang 90'+3'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 37
May 14, 2025 8.00pm
1
5
HT : 1 2
FT Pittodrie Stadium
  • Alfie Dorrington 2' yellowcard
  • Kevin Nisbet 42' goal
  • Habib Gueye 57' yellowcard
  • Jack MacKenzie 75' yellowcard
  • Alfie Dorrington 78' redcard
  • goal Maik Nawrocki 31'
  • goal Luke McCowan 48'
  • goal Hyun-Jun Yang 45'+8'
  • goal Johnny Kenny 54'
  • goal Adam Idah 90'+4'