Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.96%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 1-2 (8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.