Scottish Premiership
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Falkirk Community Stadium
  • Barney Stewart 15' goal
  • Ethan Ross 68' yellowcard
  • Henry Cartwright 82' yellowcard
  • Brian Graham 82' yellowcard
  • Gary Oliver 88' yellowcard
  • goal Miguel Freckleton 18'
  • yellowcard Jonah Ayunga 57'
  • yellowcard Declan John 57'
  • goal Liam Donnelly 63'
  • yellowcard Mikael Mandron 75'
  • yellowcard Jayden Richardson 80'

Falkirk vs St Mirren - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Falkirk

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
Aberdeen 1 - 1 Falkirk
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Barney Stewart

St Mirren

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Mar 15, 2026 12.00pm
St Mirren 0 - 1 Rangers
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Mikael Mandron

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 54.83%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.09%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%) , while for a St Mirren win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result

Falkirk 54.83%
Draw 23.9% (-0.04)
St Mirren 21.2%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.75% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.65%
Under 1.5 23.35%
Over 2.5 53.28%
Under 2.5 46.72%
Over 3.5 30.62% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 69.38%
Over 4.5 18.06% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 81.94% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Falkirk 39.72%
Draw 39%
St Mirren 21.28%

Team To Score First

Falkirk 59.05% (+0.01)
No Goal 6.37% (-0.02)
St Mirren 34.58% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 63.01%
Equal 8 11.26%
Under 8 25.73%
Over 9 51.02%
Equal 9 12%
Under 9 36.99%
Over 10.5 39.37%
Under 10.5 60.63%

Falkirk Goals

Over 1.5 51.93% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 48.07% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 25.78% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 74.22% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 10.4% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 89.6% (-0.02)

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5 57.39% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 42.61% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 24.65% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 75.35% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 7.99% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 92.01% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 2.17%
Under 3.5 97.83%

Score analysis

Falkirk 54.83%
Draw 23.9%
St Mirren 21.2%
Falkirk
1-0 @ 10.96%
2-1 @ 10.09% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.33%
3-0 @ 5.69% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.61% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.96% (+0.01)
Other @ 10.19% (+0.01)
Total : 54.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.09% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.37% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.11%
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.9%
St Mirren
0-1 @ 5.95% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.64% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.95%
1-3 @ 1.85% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.62% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.23% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 21.2%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 22
Jan 10, 2026 3.00pm
The Smisa Stadium
Scottish Premiership
Sep 13, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Sep 13, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Championship
Apr 28, 2018 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Falkirk Community Stadium (Falkirk)
  • Peter Grant 36' yellowcard
  • Jordan McGhee 75' yellowcard
  • Ryan Blair 85' goal
  • Ryan Blair 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Danny Mullen 83'
Scottish Championship
Apr 17, 2018 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT The Paisley 2021 Stadium (Paisley)
  • Myles Hippolyte 55' goal
  • Stelios Demetriou 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Paul Watson 55'
  • yellowcard Aaron Muirhead 63'
  • yellowcard Joe McKee 70'
  • goal Joe McKee 83'
  • goal Craig Sibbald 90'
Scottish Championship
Oct 21, 2017 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Falkirk Community Stadium (Falkirk)
  • Myles Hippolyte 33' yellowcard
  • Cieran Dunne 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jack Baird 48'
  • yellowcard Cameron Smith 90'