Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 49.58%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 26.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.64%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-0 (7.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.