Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 33.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (9.47%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.