Scottish Premiership Gameweek 23
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Tannadice Park

Dundee United vs St Mirren - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundee United

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Jan 10, 2026 3.00pm
Celtic 0 - 0 Dundee Utd
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Zac Sapsford

St Mirren

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Jan 14, 2026 7.45pm
Hearts 2 - 0 St Mirren
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Mikael Mandron

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Dundee United win with a probability of 43.47%. A win for St Mirren has a probability of 31.46% and a draw has a probability of 25.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest St Mirren win is 0-1 (8.16%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.02%).

Result

Dundee United 43.47% (+2.86)
Draw 25.07% (+0.33)
St Mirren 31.46% (-3.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.43% (+0.65)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.64% (+0.19)
Under 1.5 24.36% (-0.20)
Over 2.5 51.86% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 48.1% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 29.66% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 70.34% (-0.15)
Over 4.5 16.35% (+0.12)
Under 4.5 83.65% (-0.11)

First Half Winner

Dundee United 29.74% (+1.37)
Draw 44.16% (+2.43)
St Mirren 26.1% (-3.80)

Team To Score First

Dundee United 50.45% (+6.43)
No Goal 6.35% (+0.05)
St Mirren 43.2% (-6.48)

Corners

Over 8 67.36% (-2.96)
Equal 8 10.09% (+0.50)
Under 8 22.56% (+2.47)
Over 9 56.26% (-3.22)
Equal 9 11.1% (+0.27)
Under 9 32.64% (+2.95)
Over 10.5 45.06% (-3.22)
Under 10.5 54.94% (+3.22)

Dundee United Goals

Over 1.5 42.64% (+2.36)
Under 1.5 57.36% (-2.36)
Over 2.5 18.67% (+1.60)
Under 2.5 81.33% (-1.60)
Over 3.5 6.3% (+0.52)
Under 3.5 93.7% (-0.52)

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5 66.95% (-1.76)
Under 0.5 33.05% (+1.76)
Over 1.5 32.99% (-2.19)
Under 1.5 67.01% (+2.20)
Over 2.5 12.36% (-1.48)
Under 2.5 87.64% (+1.47)
Over 3.5 3.67% (-0.63)
Under 3.5 96.33% (+0.63)

Score analysis

Dundee United 43.46%
Draw 25.07%
St Mirren 31.46%
Dundee United
1-0 @ 9.84% (+0.37)
2-1 @ 9.11% (+0.47)
2-0 @ 7.09% (+0.52)
3-1 @ 4.67% (+0.31)
3-0 @ 3.55% (+0.35)
3-2 @ 2.99% (+0.31)
Other @ 6.21% (+0.54)
Total : 43.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.02% (+0.20)
0-0 @ 6.35% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.16% (+0.11)
Other @ 0.09% (-0.02)
Total : 25.07%
St Mirren
0-1 @ 8.16% (-0.56)
1-2 @ 7.52% (-0.52)
0-2 @ 4.67% (-0.47)
1-3 @ 3.19% (-0.25)
2-3 @ 2.32% (-0.21)
0-3 @ 2.02% (-0.50)
Other @ 3.58% (-0.63)
Total : 31.46%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Dec 6, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Conor McMenamin 17' goal
  • Fraser Taylor 34' yellowcard
  • Keanu Baccus 61' yellowcard
  • Keanu Baccus 66' goal
  • yellowcard Zac Sapsford 14'
  • yellowcard Krisztian Keresztes 24'
Scottish Premiership
Dec 6, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Oct 25, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Oct 25, 2025 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 36
May 10, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Tannadice Park
  • goal Mikael Mandron 31'
  • yellowcard Killian Phillips 50'
  • goal Jonah Ayunga 66'
  • yellowcard Richard Taylor 71'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 23
Jan 11, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Smisa Stadium
  • Roland Idowu 39' yellowcard
  • Stephen Robinson 40' yellowcard
  • Marcus Fraser 49' yellowcard
  • Alex Iacovitti 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vicko Sevelj 65'
  • yellowcard Will Ferry 73'
  • goal Louis Moult 88'
  • yellowcard Louis Moult 90'