Scottish Premiership Gameweek 23
Mar 3, 2026 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Tannadice Park
  • Marcus Fraser 8' goal
  • Zachary Sapsford 69' yellowcard
  • Will Ferry 75' yellowcard
  • Amar Fatah 83' yellowcard
  • Johnny Russell 84' yellowcard
  • Kristijan Trapanovski 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard J. Young 46'
  • goal J. Young 47'
  • yellowcard Declan John 65'
  • yellowcard Jalmaro Calvin 84'
  • yellowcard Richard King 84'
  • yellowcard Kion Etete 90'+1'

Dundee United vs St Mirren - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundee United

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
Motherwell 2 - 0 Dundee Utd
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Zac Sapsford

St Mirren

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
Livingston 1 - 1 St Mirren
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Mikael Mandron

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 33.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (9.47%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result

Dundee United 39.06% (+1.10)
Draw 27.41% (-0.08)
St Mirren 33.5% (-1.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.8% (-0.21)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.57% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 28.43% (-0.17)
Over 2.5 46.51% (+0.29)
Under 2.5 53.45% (-0.33)
Over 3.5 24.89% (+0.36)
Under 3.5 75.11% (-0.35)
Over 4.5 13.08% (+0.40)
Under 4.5 86.92% (-0.40)

First Half Winner

Dundee United 29.7% (+0.36)
Draw 42.82% (-0.39)
St Mirren 27.48% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Dundee United 46.25% (+0.71)
No Goal 8.3% (+0.05)
St Mirren 45.45% (-0.74)

Corners

Over 8 67.35% (+0.49)
Equal 8 10.19% (-0.13)
Under 8 22.46% (-0.37)
Over 9 56.13% (+0.58)
Equal 9 11.22% (-0.09)
Under 9 32.65% (-0.50)
Over 10.5 44.82% (+0.61)
Under 10.5 55.18% (-0.61)

Dundee United Goals

Over 1.5 36.71% (+1.08)
Under 1.5 63.29% (-1.08)
Over 2.5 14.31% (+0.73)
Under 2.5 85.69% (-0.72)
Over 3.5 4.36% (+0.49)
Under 3.5 95.64% (-0.49)

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5 66.96% (-0.86)
Under 0.5 33.04% (+0.86)
Over 1.5 32.54% (-0.60)
Under 1.5 67.46% (+0.59)
Over 2.5 11.99% (-0.44)
Under 2.5 88.01% (+0.45)
Over 3.5 3.59% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 96.41% (+0.12)

Score analysis

Dundee United 39.07%
Draw 27.42%
St Mirren 33.49%
Dundee United
1-0 @ 10.64% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 8.46% (+0.18)
2-0 @ 6.77% (+0.21)
3-1 @ 3.63% (+0.11)
3-0 @ 3.08% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.26% (+0.05)
Other @ 4.23% (+0.45)
Total : 39.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.86% (-0.22)
0-0 @ 8.3% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.15%
Other @ 0.13% (+0.05)
Total : 27.42%
St Mirren
0-1 @ 9.47% (-0.32)
1-2 @ 7.72% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 5.42% (-0.12)
1-3 @ 3.03% (-0.17)
0-3 @ 2.37% (-0.18)
2-3 @ 2.02% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.46% (-0.17)
Total : 33.49%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Dec 6, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Conor McMenamin 17' goal
  • Fraser Taylor 34' yellowcard
  • Keanu Baccus 61' yellowcard
  • Keanu Baccus 66' goal
  • yellowcard Zac Sapsford 14'
  • yellowcard Krisztian Keresztes 24'
Scottish Premiership
Dec 6, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Oct 25, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Oct 25, 2025 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 36
May 10, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Tannadice Park
  • goal Mikael Mandron 31'
  • yellowcard Killian Phillips 50'
  • goal Jonah Ayunga 66'
  • yellowcard Richard Taylor 71'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 23
Jan 11, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Smisa Stadium
  • Roland Idowu 39' yellowcard
  • Stephen Robinson 40' yellowcard
  • Marcus Fraser 49' yellowcard
  • Alex Iacovitti 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vicko Sevelj 65'
  • yellowcard Will Ferry 73'
  • goal Louis Moult 88'
  • yellowcard Louis Moult 90'