Scottish Premiership Gameweek 30
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
Pittodrie Stadium

Aberdeen vs Falkirk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberdeen

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Mar 4, 2026 8.00pm
Aberdeen 1 - 2 Celtic
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Kevin Nisbet

Falkirk

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
Falkirk 5 - 1 Kilmarnock
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Barney Stewart

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Falkirk win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Aberdeen has a probability of 35.74% and a draw has a probability of 24.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.01%) and 0-2 (5.29%). The likeliest Aberdeen win is 2-1 (8.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.49%).

Result

Aberdeen 35.74%
Draw 24.06%
Falkirk 40.17%

Both Teams to Score: 

62.31%

Goals

Over 1.5 81.71%
Under 1.5 18.29%
Over 2.5 61.31%
Under 2.5 38.69%
Over 3.5 38.97%
Under 3.5 61.03%
Over 4.5 24.06%
Under 4.5 75.94%

First Half Winner

Aberdeen 29.13%
Draw 40.6%
Falkirk 30.27%

Team To Score First

Aberdeen 45.43%
No Goal 4.63%
Falkirk 49.94%

Corners

Over 8 68.31%
Equal 8 10.09%
Under 8 21.61%
Over 9 57.1%
Equal 9 11.2%
Under 9 31.7%
Over 10.5 45.73%
Under 10.5 54.27%

Aberdeen Goals

Over 1.5 41.65%
Under 1.5 58.35%
Over 2.5 18.84%
Under 2.5 81.16%
Over 3.5 7.19%
Under 3.5 92.81%

Falkirk Goals

Over 0.5 74.89%
Under 0.5 25.11%
Over 1.5 45.38%
Under 1.5 54.62%
Over 2.5 21.52%
Under 2.5 78.48%
Over 3.5 8.48%
Under 3.5 91.52%

Score analysis

Aberdeen 35.75%
Draw 24.06%
Falkirk 40.17%
Aberdeen
2-1 @ 8.06%
1-0 @ 6.63%
2-0 @ 4.6%
3-1 @ 3.95%
3-2 @ 3.28%
3-0 @ 2.47%
Other @ 6.76%
Total : 35.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.49%
2-2 @ 6.56%
0-0 @ 4.63%
3-3 @ 1.95%
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 24.06%
Falkirk
1-2 @ 8.73%
0-1 @ 7.01%
0-2 @ 5.29%
1-3 @ 4.42%
2-3 @ 3.59%
0-3 @ 3.08%
Other @ 8.05%
Total : 40.17%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 21
Jan 3, 2026 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Falkirk Community Stadium
  • Filip Lissah 58' goal
  • Ethan Ross 61' yellowcard
  • E. Williams 74' yellowcard
  • Brian Graham 75' yellowcard
  • Alfie Agyeman 85' yellowcard
  • Henry Cartwright 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sivert Heltne Nilsen 35'
  • yellowcard Dante Polvara 46'
  • yellowcard Marko Lazetić 74'
  • yellowcard Nicky Devlin 74'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Milanovic 80'
Scottish Premiership
Jan 3, 2026 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Aug 31, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Aug 30, 2025 3.00pm