Scottish Cup
Mar 7, 2026 7.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT East End Park
  • Matty Todd 14' goal
  • Olly Thomas 22' goal
  • Olly Thomas 61' goal
  • Chris Hamilton 65' yellowcard
  • Shea Kearney 66' yellowcard
  • Josh Cooper 80' yellowcard
  • Kyle Benedictus 80' yellowcard
  • Tashan Oakley-Boothe 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gavin Molloy 46'
  • yellowcard Sivert Heltne Nilsen 46'
  • yellowcard Toyosi Olusanya 46'
  • yellowcard Marko Lazetić 74'
  • yellowcard Liam Morrison 76'

Dunfermline Athletic vs Aberdeen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Dunfermline Athletic

All competitions

Aberdeen

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 53.28%. A draw had a probability of 25.95% and a win for Aberdeen had a probability of 20.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%) , while for a Aberdeen win it was 0-1 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result

Dunfermline Athletic 53.28% (-0.15)
Draw 25.95% (+0.06)
Aberdeen 20.77% (+0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.79% (-0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.99% (-0.24)
Under 1.5 32.01% (+0.23)
Over 2.5 42.99% (-0.34)
Under 2.5 57.01% (+0.34)
Over 3.5 22.15% (-0.25)
Under 3.5 77.85% (+0.24)
Over 4.5 12.37% (-0.17)
Under 4.5 87.63% (+0.18)

First Half Winner

Dunfermline Athletic 36.95% (-0.15)
Draw 43.26% (+0.08)
Aberdeen 19.78% (+0.09)

Team To Score First

Dunfermline Athletic 58.61% (-0.19)
No Goal 9.76% (+0.09)
Aberdeen 31.63% (+0.10)

Corners

Over 8 50.23% (+0.06)
Equal 8 11.74% (-0.07)
Under 8 38.02% (-0.02)
Over 9 38.94% (+0.10)
Equal 9 11.29% (-0.05)
Under 9 49.77% (-0.06)
Over 10.5 28.95% (+0.13)
Under 10.5 71.05% (-0.14)

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 1.5 44.44% (-0.33)
Under 1.5 55.56% (+0.33)
Over 2.5 19.89% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 80.11% (+0.25)
Over 3.5 7.08% (-0.14)
Under 3.5 92.92% (+0.15)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5 52.96%
Under 0.5 47.04%
Over 1.5 19.53% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 80.47% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 5.66% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 94.34% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 1.45% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 98.55% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Dunfermline Athletic 53.29%
Draw 25.94%
Aberdeen 20.78%
Dunfermline Athletic
1-0 @ 14.42% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 10.21% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.35% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 5.61% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.48% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.17% (-0.02)
Other @ 7.05% (-0.12)
Total : 53.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.76% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 9.76% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 3.84% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.03% (-0.03)
Total : 25.94%
Aberdeen
0-1 @ 7.84% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 4.83% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.03% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 1.46%
2-3 @ 1.15%
0-3 @ 1.05% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.42% (+0.02)
Total : 20.78%

Head to Head

Scottish Cup
Feb 9, 2025 12.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Pittodrie Stadium
  • Habib Gueye 45'+1' goal
  • Alexander Jensen 50' goal
  • Kevin Nisbet 85' goal
  • Kristers Tobers 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Chris Hamilton 34'
  • yellowcard Ephraim Yeboah 81'