Scottish Premiership Gameweek 32
Apr 4, 2026 3.00pm
Easter Road Stadium

Hibernian vs Kilmarnock - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hibernian

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
Motherwell 0 - 0 Hibernian
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Martin Boyle

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
Kilmarnock 2 - 0 Livingston
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Tyreece John-Jules

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hibernian win with a probability of 67.34%. A draw has a probability of 21.05% and a win for Kilmarnock has a probability of 11.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.74%) and 2-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.84%) , while for a Kilmarnock win it is 0-1 (4.94%).

Result

Hibernian 67.34% (+0.07)
Draw 21.05% (-0.03)
Kilmarnock 11.6% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.18% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.43% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 28.57% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 48.24% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 51.76% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 28.09% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 71.91% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 18.91%
Under 4.5 81.09%

First Half Winner

Hibernian 48.5%
Draw 35.37%
Kilmarnock 16.13%

Team To Score First

Hibernian 66.46% (-0.02)
No Goal 8.78% (+0.02)
Kilmarnock 24.76% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 67.17%
Equal 8 9.94%
Under 8 22.89%
Over 9 56.26%
Equal 9 10.91%
Under 9 32.83%
Over 10.5 45.26%
Under 10.5 54.74%

Hibernian Goals

Over 1.5 56.61% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 43.39% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 31.44% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 68.56% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 14.88%
Under 3.5 85.12%

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5 40.59% (-0.14)
Under 0.5 59.41% (+0.14)
Over 1.5 12.42% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 87.58% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 2.71% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 97.29% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 0.56%
Under 3.5 99.44%

Score analysis

Hibernian 67.35%
Draw 21.06%
Kilmarnock 11.61%
Hibernian
1-0 @ 14.87% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 12.74% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.79% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 8.17% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.6%
3-2 @ 2.31%
Other @ 14.87%
Total : 67.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.84% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 8.78% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 2.95% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 21.06%
Kilmarnock
0-1 @ 4.94% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 2.87% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.58% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 11.61%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 21
Jan 3, 2026 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Rugby Park
  • Jack Thomson 46' yellowcard
  • Tyreece John-Jules 57' goal
  • Michael Schjönning-Larsen 61' yellowcard
  • Marley Watkins 73' yellowcard
  • Scott Tiffoney 85' yellowcard
  • Marcus Dackers 85' yellowcard
  • goal Élie Youan 5'
  • yellowcard Chris Cadden 34'
  • yellowcard Jordan Obita 52'
  • yellowcard Zach Mitchell 52'
  • goal Élie Youan 71'
  • yellowcard Kieron Bowie 73'
  • yellowcard Rudi Molotnikov 73'
  • yellowcard Jamie McGrath 90'+1'
Scottish Premiership
Jan 3, 2026 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Aug 10, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Aug 9, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 30
Mar 15, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Rugby Park
  • Robbie Deas 30' yellowcard
  • Corrie Ndaba 51' yellowcard
  • Fraser Murray 90'+2' goal
  • goal Martin Boyle 25'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 20
Dec 29, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Easter Road Stadium
  • Nectar Triantis 25' goal
  • Hyeok-Kyu Kwon 53' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Liam Polworth 44'
  • yellowcard Danny Armstrong 59'
  • redcard Danny Armstrong 63'
  • yellowcard Bradley Lyons 90'+5'