Scottish Premiership
May 2, 2026 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Falkirk Community Stadium
  • Henry Cartwright 62' yellowcard
  • Henry Cartwright 63' goal
  • Kyrell Wilson 75' yellowcard
  • Ben Parkinson 76' yellowcard
  • Coll Donaldson 84' yellowcard
  • Keelan Adams 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sam Nicholson 62'
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Said 62'
  • yellowcard Regan Charles-Cook 76'
  • yellowcard Callum Hendry 76'
  • yellowcard Sam Nicholson 77'

Falkirk vs Motherwell - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Falkirk

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 5.30pm
Celtic 3 - 1 Falkirk
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Barney Stewart

Motherwell

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 3.00pm
Rangers 2 - 3 Motherwell
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Tawanda Maswanhise

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 35.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-2 (8.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result

Falkirk 39.05% (+0.09)
Draw 25.23% (-0.06)
Motherwell 35.72% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.31% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.3% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 20.7% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 56.98% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 43.02% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 34.27%
Under 3.5 65.69% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 19.76% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 80.24% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Falkirk 31.77% (+0.02)
Draw 39.97% (+0.02)
Motherwell 28.27% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Falkirk 46.15% (-0.04)
No Goal 5.65% (-0.02)
Motherwell 48.2% (+0.07)

Corners

Over 8 48.6% (-0.02)
Equal 8 11.9%
Under 8 39.51% (+0.04)
Over 9 37.31% (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.28% (-0.01)
Under 9 51.4% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 27.45% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 72.55% (+0.02)

Falkirk Goals

Over 1.5 42.25% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 57.75% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 18.24% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 81.76% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 6.33% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 93.67% (-0.02)

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5 71.12% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 28.88% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 40.21% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 59.79% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 16.94% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 83.06% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 6.06% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 93.94% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Falkirk 39.04%
Draw 25.23%
Motherwell 35.72%
Falkirk
2-1 @ 8.61% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.17% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.93% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.25% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.03% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.96% (+0.01)
Other @ 6.09% (+0.02)
Total : 39.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.18% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.49%
0-0 @ 5.65% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.67% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.24% (-0.02)
Total : 25.23%
Motherwell
1-2 @ 8.6%
0-1 @ 6.87% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.22% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.77%
2-3 @ 2.98% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.46%
Other @ 5.82% (-0.01)
Total : 35.72%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Apr 4, 2026 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT Fir Park
  • Elliot Watt 34' goal
  • Sam Nicholson 63' yellowcard
  • Jordan McGhee 73' yellowcard
  • Oscar Priestman 73' yellowcard
  • Luca Ross 79' yellowcard
  • Tawanda Maswanhise 90'+4' goal
  • goal Barney Stewart 3'
  • goal Ben Broggio 45'
  • yellowcard Calvin Miller 62'
  • yellowcard Ethan Ross 71'
  • yellowcard Kyrell Wilson 71'
  • yellowcard Brian Graham 79'
  • yellowcard Ben Parkinson 84'
Scottish Premiership
Dec 3, 2025 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ethan Ross 66' yellowcard
  • Filip Lissah 77' yellowcard
Scottish Premiership
Dec 3, 2025 7.45pm
Scottish Premiership
Oct 18, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Oct 18, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT