Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 35.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-2 (8.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.