Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 38.47%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 35.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-0 (9.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.