Scottish Premiership Gameweek 36
May 9, 2026 8.00pm
Fir Park

Motherwell vs Hearts - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Motherwell

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
May 2, 2026 3.00pm
Falkirk 1 - 0 Motherwell
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Tawanda Maswanhise

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
May 4, 2026 5.30pm
Hearts 2 - 1 Rangers
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Lawrence Shankland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hearts win with a probability of 38.47%. A win for Motherwell has a probability of 35.17% and a draw has a probability of 26.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Motherwell win is 1-0 (9.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.4%).

Result

Motherwell 35.17%
Draw 26.36% (+0.02)
Hearts 38.47% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.2% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.32% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 25.68% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 49.68%
Under 2.5 50.32% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 27.63% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 72.37%
Over 4.5 14.89% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 85.11% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Motherwell 24.31% (+0.01)
Draw 43.62%
Hearts 32.08%

Team To Score First

Motherwell 41.08% (+0.02)
No Goal 7.28%
Hearts 51.64% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 52.42% (+0.03)
Equal 8 12.27%
Under 8 35.31% (-0.02)
Over 9 40.43% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.99%
Under 9 47.58% (-0.03)
Over 10.5 29.71% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 70.29% (-0.02)

Motherwell Goals

Over 1.5 35.42%
Under 1.5 64.58%
Over 2.5 13.39% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 86.61% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.2% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.8% (-0.02)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5 71.06% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 28.94% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 38% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 62% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 15.59%
Under 2.5 84.41%
Over 3.5 4.86% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 95.14% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Motherwell 35.17%
Draw 26.36%
Hearts 38.47%
Motherwell
1-0 @ 9.09% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.03% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.03%
3-1 @ 3.32%
3-0 @ 2.52% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.16% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 35.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.4%
0-0 @ 7.28%
2-2 @ 5.31%
3-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.18% (+0.01)
Total : 26.36%
Hearts
0-1 @ 9.31% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.73%
0-2 @ 6.21%
1-3 @ 4.11% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.77% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.66%
Other @ 4.68% (+0.01)
Total : 38.47%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Tynecastle Park
  • Cláudio Braga 61' goal
  • Pierre Landry Kabore 66' yellowcard
  • Sabah Kerjota 66' yellowcard
  • Jordi Altena 79' yellowcard
  • Michael Steinwender 79' yellowcard
  • Lawrence Shankland 87' yellowcard
  • Jamie McCart 90' yellowcard
  • Pierre Landry Kabore 90'+2' goal
  • goal Emmanuel Longelo 50'
  • yellowcard Callum Hendry 88'
  • yellowcard Jordan McGhee 88'
  • yellowcard Sam Nicholson 89'
  • yellowcard Oscar Priestman 89'
Scottish Premiership
Nov 29, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Nov 29, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Manny Longelo 73' yellowcard
  • Stephen Welsh 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lawrence Shankland 23'
  • yellowcard Alexandros Kiziridis 28'
  • yellowcard Cameron Devlin 81'
  • yellowcard Cameron Devlin 87'
  • yellowcard Christian Borchgrevink 90'
Scottish Premiership
Aug 23, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Aug 23, 2025 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 36
May 10, 2025 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Tynecastle Park
  • Lawrence Shankland 30' goal
  • Cameron Devlin 48' yellowcard
  • Lawrence Shankland 60' goal
  • Alan Forrest 62' goal
  • Craig Halkett 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andy Halliday 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Lennon Miller 54'