Club Friendlies 3
Jul 17, 2026 7.45pm
Tynecastle Park

Hearts vs Rayo Vallecano - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 14, 2026 7.30pm
Arbroath 1 - 2 Hearts

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hearts win with a probability of 56.3%. A draw has a probability of 24.26% and a win for Rayo Vallecano has a probability of 19.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (11.02%) and 2-0 (10.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.89%) , while for a Rayo Vallecano win it is 0-1 (6.21%).

Result

Hearts 56.3% (+0.02)
Draw 24.26%
Rayo Vallecano 19.44% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.62% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.95% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 26.05% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 49.02% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 50.98% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 25.89% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 74.11% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 14.56% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 85.44% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Hearts 36.59% (-0.01)
Draw 44.18% (+0.03)
Rayo Vallecano 19.23% (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Hearts 58.47%
No Goal 6.94%
Rayo Vallecano 34.59%

Corners

Over 8 65.57% (-0.02)
Equal 8 10.93% (-0.01)
Under 8 23.49% (+0.01)
Over 9 53.66%
Equal 9 11.92%
Under 9 34.43% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 41.85% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 58.15% (-0.01)

Hearts Goals

Over 1.5 50.11% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 49.89% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 23.01% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 76.99% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 8.46%
Under 3.5 91.54%

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5 55.77%
Under 0.5 44.23%
Over 1.5 21.36% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 78.64% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 6.06% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 93.94% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.44% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.56% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Hearts 56.31%
Draw 24.25%
Rayo Vallecano 19.45%
Hearts
1-0 @ 12.91%
2-1 @ 11.02% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 10.22% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.8% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.29%
3-2 @ 2.7%
Other @ 8.37%
Total : 56.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.89%
0-0 @ 6.94%
2-2 @ 4.57% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 24.25%
Rayo Vallecano
0-1 @ 6.21% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.22% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.81%
1-3 @ 1.48% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.29% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.09% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.35% (-0.02)
Total : 19.45%