Conference League
May 27, 2026 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Jean-Philippe Mateta 51' goal
  • Jørgen Strand Larsen 76' yellowcard
  • Evann Guessand 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pedro Díaz 62'
  • yellowcard Nobel Mendy 63'
  • yellowcard Sergio Camello 70'
  • yellowcard Alfonso Espino 70'
  • yellowcard Ilias Akhomach 77'

Crystal Palace vs Rayo Vallecano - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

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Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Crystal Palace

All competitions

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 36.85%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.67%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (10.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result

Crystal Palace 36.85% (-0.05)
Draw 27.5% (+0.11)
Rayo Vallecano 35.55% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.8% (-0.25)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.47% (-0.33)
Under 1.5 31.53% (+0.33)
Over 2.5 42.6% (-0.36)
Under 2.5 57.4% (+0.36)
Over 3.5 22.05% (-0.20)
Under 3.5 77.95% (+0.21)
Over 4.5 11.35% (-0.13)
Under 4.5 88.65% (+0.13)

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 1.5 32.63% (-0.20)
Under 1.5 67.37% (+0.21)
Over 2.5 11.74% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 88.26% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 3.36% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 96.64% (+0.05)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5 66.15% (-0.23)
Under 0.5 33.85% (+0.24)
Over 1.5 32.07% (-0.21)
Under 1.5 67.93% (+0.21)
Over 2.5 11.96% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 88.04% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 3.67% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 96.33% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Crystal Palace 36.85%
Draw 27.5%
Rayo Vallecano 35.54%
Crystal Palace
1-0 @ 11.39% (+0.11)
2-1 @ 7.67% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 6.86% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.08% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.76% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.29% (-0.05)
Total : 36.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.74%
0-0 @ 9.44% (+0.14)
2-2 @ 4.51% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.07%
Total : 27.5%
Rayo Vallecano
0-1 @ 10.59% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 7.53% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 6.27% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.1% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.6% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.6% (-0.03)
Total : 35.54%

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