Conference League
May 27, 2026 8.00pm
Red Bull Arena

Crystal Palace vs Rayo Vallecano - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Crystal Palace

All competitions

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 37%. A win for Rayo Vallecano has a probability of 35.6% and a draw has a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (7.76%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win is 0-1 (10.54%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.76%).

Result

Crystal Palace 37% (-0.55)
Draw 27.4% (-0.41)
Rayo Vallecano 35.6% (+0.96)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.2% (+0.61)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.97% (+0.88)
Under 1.5 31.03% (-0.87)
Over 2.5 43.1% (+1.06)
Under 2.5 56.9% (-1.06)
Over 3.5 22.35% (+0.81)
Under 3.5 77.65% (-0.75)
Over 4.5 11.52% (+0.54)
Under 4.5 88.48% (-0.54)

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 1.5 33.03% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 66.97% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 11.98% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 88.02% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 3.46% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 96.54% (-0.04)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5 66.47% (+0.93)
Under 0.5 33.53% (-0.93)
Over 1.5 32.28% (+1.21)
Under 1.5 67.72% (-1.21)
Over 2.5 12.03% (+0.81)
Under 2.5 87.97% (-0.82)
Over 3.5 3.69% (+0.38)
Under 3.5 96.31% (-0.38)

Score analysis

Crystal Palace 36.99%
Draw 27.4%
Rayo Vallecano 35.58%
Crystal Palace
1-0 @ 11.23% (-0.41)
2-1 @ 7.76% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 6.86% (-0.16)
3-1 @ 3.13%
3-0 @ 2.8% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.83% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.38% (+0.03)
Total : 36.99%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.76% (-0.15)
0-0 @ 9.23% (-0.41)
2-2 @ 4.57% (+0.09)
Other @ 0.08% (+0.01)
Total : 27.4%
Rayo Vallecano
0-1 @ 10.54% (-0.12)
1-2 @ 7.58% (+0.16)
0-2 @ 6.27% (+0.14)
1-3 @ 3.11% (+0.16)
0-3 @ 2.61% (+0.16)
2-3 @ 1.86% (+0.08)
Other @ 3.61% (+0.37)
Total : 35.58%