Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Alaves win with a probability of 37.27%. A win for Rayo Vallecano has a probability of 35.93% and a draw has a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Alaves win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win is 0-1 (9.17%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.61%).