Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 44.26%. A draw had a probability of 28.12% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 27.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%) , while for a Alaves win it was 0-1 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.