La Liga
May 17, 2026 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere
  • Thiago Fernández 46' yellowcard
  • Ilyas Chaira 66' yellowcard
  • Álex Forés 79' yellowcard
  • Thiago Borbas 79' yellowcard
  • Nacho Vidal 85' yellowcard
  • goal Toni Martínez 17'
  • yellowcard Youssef Enríquez 46'
  • yellowcard Pablo Ibáñez 68'
  • yellowcard Aitor Mañas 69'
  • yellowcard Pablo Ibáñez 69'
  • yellowcard Lucas Boyé 82'
  • yellowcard Carlos Protesoni 87'

Real Oviedo vs Alaves - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Oviedo

All competitions
Last game
May 14, 2026 8.30pm
Real Madrid 2 - 0 Real Oviedo
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Federico Viñas

Alaves

All competitions
Last game
May 13, 2026 8.30pm
Alaves 1 - 0 Barcelona
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Toni Martinez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 44.26%. A draw had a probability of 28.12% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 27.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%) , while for a Alaves win it was 0-1 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result

Real Oviedo 44.26% (-0.04)
Draw 28.12% (+0.13)
Alaves 27.65% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.18% (+0.43)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.6% (+0.55)
Under 1.5 29.4% (-0.56)
Over 2.5 45.06% (+0.68)
Under 2.5 54.94% (-0.65)
Over 3.5 23.96% (+0.93)
Under 3.5 76.04% (-0.93)
Over 4.5 12.4% (+0.66)
Under 4.5 87.6% (-0.66)

First Half Winner

Real Oviedo 28.94% (-0.10)
Draw 46.56% (+0.34)
Alaves 24.51% (-0.23)

Team To Score First

Real Oviedo 50.5% (+0.50)
No Goal 8.89% (-0.20)
Alaves 40.61% (-0.30)

Corners

Over 8 63.38% (+3.18)
Equal 8 11.24% (-0.63)
Under 8 25.38% (-2.55)
Over 9 51.38% (+3.54)
Equal 9 12% (-0.36)
Under 9 36.62% (-3.18)
Over 10.5 39.71% (+3.57)
Under 10.5 60.29% (-3.58)

Real Oviedo Goals

Over 1.5 40.14% (+0.47)
Under 1.5 59.86% (-0.47)
Over 2.5 16.25% (+0.26)
Under 2.5 83.75% (-0.27)
Over 3.5 5.38% (+0.29)
Under 3.5 94.62% (-0.29)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5 62.02% (+0.18)
Under 0.5 37.98% (-0.18)
Over 1.5 27.43% (+0.81)
Under 1.5 72.57% (-0.82)
Over 2.5 9.27% (+0.43)
Under 2.5 90.73% (-0.43)
Over 3.5 2.57% (+0.26)
Under 3.5 97.43% (-0.26)

Score analysis

Real Oviedo 44.26%
Draw 28.12%
Alaves 27.65%
Real Oviedo
1-0 @ 11.95% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 8.98% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 8.35% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.99% (-0.17)
3-0 @ 3.75% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.17% (+0.15)
Other @ 5.07% (+0.17)
Total : 44.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.03% (-0.15)
0-0 @ 8.89% (-0.20)
2-2 @ 4.93% (+0.25)
Other @ 0.31% (+0.11)
Total : 28.12%
Alaves
0-1 @ 8.59% (-0.25)
1-2 @ 6.9%
0-2 @ 4.16% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.63% (+0.19)
2-3 @ 1.63%
0-3 @ 1.48% (-0.11)
Other @ 2.26% (+0.15)
Total : 27.65%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 18
Jan 4, 2026 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza
  • Lucas Boyé 46' yellowcard
  • Carlos Vicente 46' yellowcard
  • Carlos Protesoni 62' yellowcard
  • Abde Rebbach 62' yellowcard
  • Lucas Boyé 69' goal
  • Aitor Mañas 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Haissem Hassan 54'
  • yellowcard David Carmo 54'
  • goal Federico Viñas 56'
  • yellowcard Nicolás Fonseca 74'
  • yellowcard Álex Forés 85'
  • yellowcard Javi López 85'
Segunda Division Gameweek 23
Jan 13, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere
  • Rodrigo Tarin 79' goal
Segunda Division Gameweek 13
Oct 29, 2022 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza
  • Abdel Abqar 16' goal
  • Salva Sevilla 90'+9' goal
  • goal Borja Baston 71'