Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 53.16%. A draw had a probability of 24.72% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 22.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.15%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%) , while for a Alaves win it was 1-2 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.