Scottish Premiership Gameweek 38
May 16, 2026 12.30pm
Celtic Park

Celtic vs Hearts - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Celtic

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
May 10, 2026 12.00pm
Celtic 3 - 1 Rangers
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Benjamin Nygren

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
May 9, 2026 8.00pm
Motherwell 1 - 1 Hearts
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Lawrence Shankland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Celtic win with a probability of 50.68%. A win for Hearts has a probability of 25.43% and a draw has a probability of 23.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.92%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Hearts win is 1-2 (6.57%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.57%).

Result

Celtic 50.68%
Draw 23.93%
Hearts 25.43%

Both Teams to Score: 

62.4%

Goals

Over 1.5 82.85%
Under 1.5 17.15%
Over 2.5 61.97%
Under 2.5 38.02%
Over 3.5 39.59%
Under 3.5 60.38%
Over 4.5 24.07%
Under 4.5 75.93%

First Half Winner

Celtic 38.6%
Draw 39.13%
Hearts 22.27%

Team To Score First

Celtic 59.3%
No Goal 4.36%
Hearts 36.34%

Corners

Over 8 61.82%
Equal 8 10.74%
Under 8 27.44%
Over 9 50.54%
Equal 9 11.28%
Under 9 38.18%
Over 10.5 39.64%
Under 10.5 60.36%

Celtic Goals

Over 1.5 54.37%
Under 1.5 45.63%
Over 2.5 28.15%
Under 2.5 71.85%
Over 3.5 11.7%
Under 3.5 88.3%

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5 64.73%
Under 0.5 35.27%
Over 1.5 33.43%
Under 1.5 66.57%
Over 2.5 13.31%
Under 2.5 86.69%
Over 3.5 4.3%
Under 3.5 95.7%

Score analysis

Celtic 50.68%
Draw 23.93%
Hearts 25.43%
Celtic
2-1 @ 9.82%
1-0 @ 7.92%
2-0 @ 7.22%
3-1 @ 6%
3-0 @ 4.55%
3-2 @ 3.91%
Other @ 11.26%
Total : 50.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.57%
2-2 @ 6.57%
0-0 @ 4.36%
3-3 @ 1.99%
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 23.93%
Hearts
1-2 @ 6.57%
0-1 @ 4.91%
0-2 @ 3.07%
1-3 @ 2.96%
2-3 @ 2.61%
0-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 25.43%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Jan 25, 2026 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Tynecastle Park
  • Stuart Findlay 48' goal
  • Oisin McEntee 71' yellowcard
  • Sabah Kerjota 71' yellowcard
  • Blair Spittal 86' yellowcard
  • Cláudio Braga 87' goal
  • James Wilson 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Benjamin Nygren 7'
  • goal Hyun-jun Yang 62'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Tounekti 66'
  • yellowcard Dane Murray 73'
  • yellowcard Anthony Ralston 77'
Scottish Premiership
Dec 7, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Hyun-Jun Yang 35' yellowcard
  • Kieran Tierney 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Harry Milne 36'
  • goal Cláudio Rafael Soares Braga 43'
  • yellowcard Cameron Devlin 60'
  • yellowcard Michael Steinwender 62'
  • goal Oisin McEntee 64'
Scottish Premiership
Dec 6, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Oct 26, 2025 12.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Oct 25, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 31
Mar 29, 2025 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT Celtic Park
  • Daizen Maeda 17' goal
  • Jota 24' goal
  • Daizen Maeda 41' goal
  • yellowcard Adam Forrester 55'