Scottish Cup
Apr 19, 2026 2.00pm
Celtic Park

Celtic vs St Mirren - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Celtic

All competitions

St Mirren

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Celtic win with a probability of 64.2%. A draw has a probability of 19.8% and a win for St Mirren has a probability of 16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.29%) , while for a St Mirren win it is 1-2 (4.45%).

Result

Celtic 64.2% (+1.31)
Draw 19.8% (-0.70)
St Mirren 16% (-0.70)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.4% (+0.61)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.41% (+0.88)
Under 1.5 18.59% (-0.88)
Over 2.5 59.7% (+1.50)
Under 2.5 40.2% (-1.60)
Over 3.5 37.4% (+1.61)
Under 3.5 62.6% (-1.61)
Over 4.5 24.17% (+1.46)
Under 4.5 75.83% (-1.46)

Celtic Goals

Over 1.5 62.03% (+1.65)
Under 1.5 37.97% (-1.65)
Over 2.5 35.55% (+1.81)
Under 2.5 64.45% (-1.82)
Over 3.5 16.74% (+1.30)
Under 3.5 83.26% (-1.30)

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5 51.58% (-0.79)
Under 0.5 48.42% (+0.79)
Over 1.5 20.98% (-0.29)
Under 1.5 79.02% (+0.29)
Over 2.5 6.27% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 93.73% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 1.57%
Under 3.5 98.43%

Score analysis

Celtic 64.2%
Draw 19.79%
St Mirren 16%
Celtic
2-0 @ 10.31% (-0.10)
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.05)
1-0 @ 9.67% (-0.34)
3-0 @ 7.3% (+0.17)
3-1 @ 7.04% (+0.21)
3-2 @ 3.39% (+0.12)
Other @ 16.6% (+1.31)
Total : 64.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.29% (-0.37)
2-2 @ 4.75% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.53% (-0.36)
3-3 @ 1.08% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 19.79%
St Mirren
1-2 @ 4.45% (-0.17)
0-1 @ 4.38% (-0.30)
0-2 @ 2.12% (-0.13)
2-3 @ 1.53% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.43% (-0.06)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 16%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Celtic Park
  • Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain 15' goal
  • Kelechi Iheanacho 62' yellowcard
  • Arne Engels 63' yellowcard
  • Reo Hatate 73' yellowcard
  • Luke McCowan 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryan Mullen 32'
  • yellowcard Jayden Richardson 73'
  • yellowcard J. Young 73'
  • yellowcard Conor McMenamin 80'
  • yellowcard Roland Idowu 81'
Scottish League Cup
Dec 14, 2025 3.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Marcus Fraser 2' goal
  • Marcus Fraser 22' yellowcard
  • Dan N'Lundulu 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Jonah Ayunga 64' goal
  • Jonah Ayunga 76' goal
  • Jonah Ayunga 77' yellowcard
  • goal Reo Hatate 23'
  • yellowcard Auston Trusty 45'+4'
Scottish Premiership
Nov 22, 2025 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Nov 22, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 1
Aug 3, 2025 4.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Aug 3, 2025 4.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT