Scottish Premiership Gameweek 33
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
Celtic Park

Celtic vs St Mirren - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Celtic

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Apr 5, 2026 4.30pm
Dundee 1 - 2 Celtic
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Benjamin Nygren

St Mirren

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Apr 4, 2026 3.00pm
St Mirren 2 - 0 Aberdeen
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Mikael Mandron

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Celtic win with a probability of 63.7%. A draw has a probability of 19.58% and a win for St Mirren has a probability of 16.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.37%) and 1-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.95%) , while for a St Mirren win it is 1-2 (4.76%).

Result

Celtic 63.7% (+0.11)
Draw 19.58% (+0.04)
St Mirren 16.7% (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.33% (-0.47)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.32% (-0.35)
Under 1.5 16.68% (+0.34)
Over 2.5 62.97% (-0.56)
Under 2.5 37.03% (+0.56)
Over 3.5 40.58% (-0.79)
Under 3.5 59.42% (+0.79)
Over 4.5 26.42% (-0.61)
Under 4.5 73.58% (+0.61)

First Half Winner

Celtic 45.35%
Draw 36.18%
St Mirren 18.47%

Team To Score First

Celtic 65.85% (+0.01)
No Goal 3.84% (+0.07)
St Mirren 30.31% (-0.09)

Corners

Over 8 70.65% (-0.43)
Equal 8 9.4% (+0.16)
Under 8 19.95% (+0.28)
Over 9 60.02% (-0.58)
Equal 9 10.63% (+0.16)
Under 9 29.35% (+0.43)
Over 10.5 49% (-0.68)
Under 10.5 51% (+0.68)

Celtic Goals

Over 1.5 63.41% (-0.28)
Under 1.5 36.59% (+0.28)
Over 2.5 36.85% (-0.43)
Under 2.5 63.15% (+0.43)
Over 3.5 17.27% (-0.31)
Under 3.5 82.73% (+0.32)

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5 54% (-0.29)
Under 0.5 46% (+0.29)
Over 1.5 23.66% (-0.40)
Under 1.5 76.34% (+0.40)
Over 2.5 7.62% (-0.27)
Under 2.5 92.38% (+0.27)
Over 3.5 2.07% (-0.14)
Under 3.5 97.93% (+0.14)

Score analysis

Celtic 63.69%
Draw 19.58%
St Mirren 16.7%
Celtic
2-1 @ 10.17% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 9.37% (+0.17)
1-0 @ 8.91% (+0.20)
3-1 @ 7.32% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 6.8% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 4.07% (-0.09)
Other @ 17.05% (-0.29)
Total : 63.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.95% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 3.84% (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.22% (-0.02)
Total : 19.58%
St Mirren
1-2 @ 4.76% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 3.9% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 2.03% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 1.66% (-0.08)
Other @ 1.85% (-0.11)
Total : 16.7%

Head to Head

Scottish League Cup
Dec 14, 2025 3.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Marcus Fraser 2' goal
  • Marcus Fraser 22' yellowcard
  • Dan N'Lundulu 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Jonah Ayunga 64' goal
  • Jonah Ayunga 76' goal
  • Jonah Ayunga 77' yellowcard
  • goal Reo Hatate 23'
  • yellowcard Auston Trusty 45'+4'
Scottish Premiership
Nov 22, 2025 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Nov 22, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 1
Aug 3, 2025 4.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Aug 3, 2025 4.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 38
May 17, 2025 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Celtic Park
  • James Forrest 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Killian Phillips 44'
  • goal Jonah Ayunga 51'
  • yellowcard Mark O'Hara 75'
  • yellowcard Marcus Fraser 88'