Scottish Premiership Gameweek 32
Apr 4, 2026 3.00pm
The Smisa Stadium

St Mirren vs Aberdeen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

St Mirren

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
Falkirk 1 - 2 St Mirren
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Mikael Mandron

Aberdeen

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 5.45pm
Rangers 4 - 1 Aberdeen
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Kevin Nisbet

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a St Mirren win with a probability of 47.18%. A win for Aberdeen has a probability of 28.19% and a draw has a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Aberdeen win is 0-1 (6.96%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.22%).

Result

St Mirren 47.18% (+0.16)
Draw 24.6% (-0.03)
Aberdeen 28.19% (-0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.31% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.68% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 23.32% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 54%
Under 2.5 46%
Over 3.5 32.04% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 67.92%
Over 4.5 18.86% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 81.14% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

St Mirren 37.08%
Draw 41.13%
Aberdeen 21.79%

Team To Score First

St Mirren 57.62%
No Goal 6.32% (-0.01)
Aberdeen 36.06% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 62.3%
Equal 8 11.01%
Under 8 26.69%
Over 9 50.67%
Equal 9 11.63%
Under 9 37.7%
Over 10.5 39.41%
Under 10.5 60.59%

St Mirren Goals

Over 1.5 46.58% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 53.42% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 21.84% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 78.16% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 8.39% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 91.61% (-0.07)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5 63.83% (-0.19)
Under 0.5 36.17% (+0.18)
Over 1.5 31.43% (-0.20)
Under 1.5 68.57% (+0.19)
Over 2.5 11.99% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 88.01% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 3.87% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 96.13% (+0.07)

Score analysis

St Mirren 47.18%
Draw 24.59%
Aberdeen 28.18%
St Mirren
1-0 @ 9.99% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.34% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.51% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.88% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.11% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.16% (-0.01)
Other @ 8.19% (+0.08)
Total : 47.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.22% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.32% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.2% (-0.01)
Total : 24.59%
Aberdeen
0-1 @ 6.96% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 6.76% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.97% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.74% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.34% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.74% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.67% (-0.07)
Total : 28.18%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Dec 3, 2025 7.45pm
3
3
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Dante Polvara 71' goal
  • Marko Lazetic 73' goal
  • Marko Lazetic 85' goal
  • yellowcard Fraser Taylor 28'
  • goal Marcus Fraser 55'
  • goal Jonah Ayunga 82'
  • goal Richard King 90'+9'
Scottish Premiership
Dec 3, 2025 7.45pm
Scottish Premiership
Oct 18, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Oct 18, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 35
May 3, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Smisa Stadium
  • Jonah Ayunga 17' yellowcard
  • Killian Phillips 41' yellowcard
  • Mikael Mandron 47' yellowcard
  • Mikael Mandron 60' goal
  • yellowcard Nicky Devlin 13'
  • yellowcard Graeme Shinnie 23'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 24
Jan 25, 2025 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Pittodrie Stadium
  • Topi Keskinen 52' yellowcard
  • Luis Lopes 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Toyosi Olusanya 7'
  • yellowcard Callum Penman 23'
  • goal Mikael Mandron 36'
  • yellowcard Callum Penman 42'
  • yellowcard Zach Hemming 65'
  • yellowcard Elvis Bwomono 72'
  • goal Mikael Mandron 78'
  • yellowcard Scott Tanser 90'
  • yellowcard Greg Kiltie 90'+5'