Scottish Premiership Gameweek 32
St Mirren
Apr 4, 2026 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Smisa Stadium
Aberdeen
  • Jonah Ayunga 40' goal
  • Jonah Ayunga 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Scott Tanser 59' yellowcard
  • 59' yellowcard
  • Dan N'Lundulu 59' yellowcard
  • Jayden Richardson 68' yellowcard
  • Alex Gogic 83' goal
  • yellowcard Kenan Bilalovic 27'
  • yellowcard Liam Morrison 39'
  • yellowcard Marko Lazetić 45'
  • yellowcard Toyosi Olusanya 46'
  • yellowcard Kevin Nisbet 46'
  • yellowcard Stuart Armstrong 46'
  • yellowcard Lyall Cameron 65'
  • yellowcard Dylan Lobban 79'

St Mirren vs Aberdeen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

St Mirren

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
Falkirk 1 - 2 St Mirren
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Miguel Freckleton

Aberdeen

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 5.45pm
Rangers 4 - 1 Aberdeen
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Kevin Nisbet

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 45.79%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (7.32%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result

St Mirren 45.79% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 24.89%
Aberdeen 29.28% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.29%

Goals

Over 1.5 76.44% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 23.56% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 53.74%
Under 2.5 46.26%
Over 3.5 31.84%
Under 3.5 68.16%
Over 4.5 18.54% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 81.46% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

St Mirren 36.97%
Draw 41.51%
Aberdeen 21.52%

Team To Score First

St Mirren 57.1%
No Goal 6.31%
Aberdeen 36.59%

Corners

Over 8 63.8%
Equal 8 11.17%
Under 8 25.03%
Over 9 51.82%
Equal 9 11.98%
Under 9 36.2%
Over 10.5 40.11%
Under 10.5 59.89%

St Mirren Goals

Over 1.5 45.44% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 54.56% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 21.03% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 78.97% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 7.94% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 92.06% ▼ (-0.04)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5 65.14% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 34.86% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 1.5 32.29% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 67.71% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 12.41% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 87.59% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 3.99% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 96.01% ▲ (+0.03)

Score analysis

St Mirren 45.8%
Draw 24.89%
Aberdeen 29.28%
St Mirren
1-0 @ 9.9% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.31%
2-0 @ 7.18% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.82%
3-0 @ 3.76% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.15%
Other @ 7.68% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 45.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.4%
0-0 @ 6.31%
2-2 @ 5.56% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.89%
Aberdeen
0-1 @ 7.32% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.04%
0-2 @ 4.13%
1-3 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.36%
0-3 @ 1.79%
Other @ 3.73% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 29.28%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Aberdeen
Dec 3, 2025 7.45pm
3
3
HT : 0 0
FT Pittodrie Stadium
St Mirren
  • Dante Polvara 71' goal
  • Marko Lazetic 73' goal
  • Marko Lazetić 73' goal
  • Marko Lazetic 85' goal
  • Marko Lazetić 85' goal
  • yellowcard Fraser Taylor 28'
  • goal Marcus Fraser 55'
  • goal Jonah Ayunga 82'
  • goal Richard King 90'+9'
Scottish Premiership
Aberdeen
Dec 3, 2025 7.45pm
St Mirren
Scottish Premiership
St Mirren
Oct 18, 2025 3.00pm
Aberdeen
Scottish Premiership
St Mirren
Oct 18, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Smisa Stadium
Aberdeen
  • Miguel Freckleton 22' yellowcard
  • Jayden Richardson 81' redcard
  • Shamal George 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alexander Jensen 24'
  • yellowcard Ante Palaversa 81'
  • yellowcard Stuart Armstrong 82'
  • goal Marko Lazetić 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Marko Lazetić 90'+7'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 35
St Mirren
May 3, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Smisa Stadium
Aberdeen
  • Jonah Ayunga 17' yellowcard
  • Killian Phillips 41' yellowcard
  • Mikael Mandron 47' yellowcard
  • Mikael Mandron 60' goal
  • yellowcard Nicky Devlin 13'
  • yellowcard Graeme Shinnie 23'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 24
Aberdeen
Jan 25, 2025 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Pittodrie Stadium
St Mirren
  • Topi Keskinen 52' yellowcard
  • Luis Lopes 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Toyosi Olusanya 7'
  • yellowcard Callum Penman 23'
  • goal Mikael Mandron 36'
  • yellowcard Callum Penman 42'
  • yellowcard Zach Hemming 65'
  • yellowcard Elvis Bwomono 72'
  • goal Mikael Mandron 78'
  • yellowcard Scott Tanser 90'
  • yellowcard Greg Kiltie 90'+5'

Form Data

Falkirk 1 - 2 St Mirren
St Mirren 0 - 1 Rangers
St Mirren 2 - 1 Partick
Dundee Utd 2 - 1 St Mirren
Livingston 1 - 1 St Mirren
St Mirren 0 - 5 Motherwell
Rangers 4 - 1 Aberdeen
Aberdeen 1 - 1 Falkirk
Dunfermline 3 - 0 Aberdeen
Aberdeen 1 - 2 Celtic
Hearts 1 - 0 Aberdeen
Dundee Utd 0 - 0 Aberdeen