Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 45.79%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (7.32%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.