Scottish Premiership Gameweek 37
May 13, 2026 8.00pm
Fir Park

Motherwell vs Celtic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Motherwell

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
May 9, 2026 8.00pm
Motherwell 1 - 1 Hearts
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Tawanda Maswanhise

Celtic

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
May 10, 2026 12.00pm
Celtic 3 - 1 Rangers
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Benjamin Nygren

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Celtic win with a probability of 44.89%. A win for Motherwell has a probability of 29.96% and a draw has a probability of 25.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.89%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Motherwell win is 2-1 (7.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.74%).

Result

Motherwell 29.96% (-1.56)
Draw 25.15% (-0.03)
Celtic 44.89% (+1.58)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.84% (-0.24)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.59% (-0.68)
Under 1.5 22.41% (+0.68)
Over 2.5 54.24% (-1.12)
Under 2.5 45.76% (+1.12)
Over 3.5 31.74% (-0.55)
Under 3.5 68.26% (+0.55)
Over 4.5 17.89% (-0.38)
Under 4.5 82.11% (+0.38)

First Half Winner

Motherwell 24.11% (-0.84)
Draw 40.17% (-0.65)
Celtic 35.72% (+1.50)

Team To Score First

Motherwell 39.4% (-2.25)
No Goal 6.17% (+0.14)
Celtic 54.43% (+2.11)

Corners

Over 8 52.9% (-0.67)
Equal 8 11.63% (-0.03)
Under 8 35.47% (+0.69)
Over 9 41.5% (-0.57)
Equal 9 11.4% (-0.10)
Under 9 47.1% (+0.67)
Over 10.5 31.21% (-0.43)
Under 10.5 68.79% (+0.44)

Motherwell Goals

Over 1.5 33.26% (-1.96)
Under 1.5 66.74% (+1.95)
Over 2.5 12.12% (-1.29)
Under 2.5 87.88% (+1.29)
Over 3.5 3.82% (-0.56)
Under 3.5 96.18% (+0.56)

Celtic Goals

Over 0.5 76.29% (+0.69)
Under 0.5 23.71% (-0.68)
Over 1.5 45.38% (+0.61)
Under 1.5 54.62% (-0.61)
Over 2.5 20.87% (+0.40)
Under 2.5 79.13% (-0.40)
Over 3.5 7.29% (+0.21)
Under 3.5 92.71% (-0.21)

Score analysis

Motherwell 29.96%
Draw 25.14%
Celtic 44.89%
Motherwell
2-1 @ 7.36% (-0.43)
1-0 @ 7.34% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 4.68% (-0.15)
3-1 @ 2.92% (-0.19)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.11)
3-0 @ 1.85% (-0.32)
Other @ 3.66% (-0.44)
Total : 29.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.74% (+0.25)
0-0 @ 6.17% (+0.14)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.18)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.13)
Other @ 0.16% (-0.12)
Total : 25.14%
Celtic
1-2 @ 9.73% (+0.15)
0-1 @ 8.89% (+0.46)
0-2 @ 6.94% (+0.37)
1-3 @ 5.24% (+0.21)
0-3 @ 3.55% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 3.41% (+0.09)
Other @ 7.13% (+0.31)
Total : 44.89%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 30
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Celtic Park
  • Hyun-jun Yang 38' goal
  • Tomas Cvancara 46' yellowcard
  • Luke McCowan 62' yellowcard
  • Tomas Cvancara 72' yellowcard
  • Marcelo Saracchi 78' yellowcard
  • Paulo Bernardo 78' yellowcard
  • Anthony Ralston 78' yellowcard
  • Hyun-jun Yang 79' goal
  • goal Elijah Just 32'
  • yellowcard Oscar Priestman 78'
  • yellowcard Eythor Bjørgolfsson 78'
  • yellowcard Eythor Bjørgolfsson 79'
  • yellowcard Sam Nicholson 83'
  • yellowcard Jordan McGhee 83'
  • yellowcard Luca Ross 90'+1'
Scottish Premiership
Dec 30, 2025 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ibrahim Sa'id 14' goal
  • Elliot Watt 58' goal
  • yellowcard Auston Trusty 52'
  • yellowcard Anthony Ralston 56'
  • yellowcard Reo Hatate 56'
  • yellowcard Liam Scales 74'
Scottish Premiership
Dec 30, 2025 7.45pm
Scottish Premiership
Oct 5, 2025 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Oct 4, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 25
Feb 2, 2025 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT Fir Park
  • Luke Armstrong 23' goal
  • goal Daizen Maeda 1'
  • goal Adam Idah 29'
  • goal Jota 90'+4'