Club Friendlies 3
Jul 15, 2026 4.00pm
Merkur Arena

Sturm Graz vs Pogon Szczecin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sturm Graz

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 11, 2026 4.00pm
Sturm Graz 5 - 1 Hiroshima

Pogon Szczecin

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 8, 2026 10.30am
Szczecin 2 - 1 Chrobry Glogow

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 58.42%. A draw has a probability of 21.29% and a win for Pogon Szczecin has a probability of 20.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.69%) , while for a Pogon Szczecin win it is 1-2 (5.52%).

Result

Sturm Graz 58.42% (-0.01)
Draw 21.29%
Pogon Szczecin 20.29% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.31% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.08% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 18.92% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 60.7% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 39.3% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 38.84% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 61.16% (-0.11)
Over 4.5 25.12% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 74.88% (-0.10)

First Half Winner

Sturm Graz 40.4% (-0.03)
Draw 38.68% (-0.04)
Pogon Szczecin 20.92% (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Sturm Graz 59.48%
No Goal 4.94% (-0.03)
Pogon Szczecin 35.58% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 63.53% (+0.11)
Equal 8 10.66% (-0.01)
Under 8 25.81% (-0.11)
Over 9 52.16% (+0.10)
Equal 9 11.36%
Under 9 36.47% (-0.11)
Over 10.5 41.04% (+0.09)
Under 10.5 58.96% (-0.09)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 1.5 57.84% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 42.16% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 32.9% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 67.1% (-0.09)
Over 3.5 15.82% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 84.18% (-0.07)

Pogon Szczecin Goals

Over 0.5 56.79% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 43.21% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 25.85% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 74.15% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 9% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 91% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 2.7% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.3% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Sturm Graz 58.42%
Draw 21.29%
Pogon Szczecin 20.29%
Sturm Graz
2-1 @ 9.66% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 9.13% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 8.25% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 6.74% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.35% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.75%
Other @ 15.54% (+0.06)
Total : 58.42%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.69%
2-2 @ 5.14% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.94% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.24% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.28% (+0.02)
Total : 21.29%
Pogon Szczecin
1-2 @ 5.52% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 4.85% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.44% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.89% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.84%
0-3 @ 1.33% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 20.29%