Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 44.77%. A win for Katowice had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.85%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Katowice win was 1-2 (7.96%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.