Polish Ekstraklasa
May 9, 2026 4.30pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Stadion Miejski
  • Kajetan Szmyt 11' goal
  • Afimico Pululu 32' goal
  • Matías Nahuel 77' yellowcard
  • Kamil Jozwiak 77' yellowcard
  • Leon Flach 82' yellowcard
  • Samed Bazdar 82' yellowcard
  • Bernardo Vital 90'+1' goal
  • Apostolos Konstantopoulos 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Filip Cuic 44'
  • yellowcard N. Lawa 46'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Koutris 65'
  • yellowcard Kamil Grosicki 65'
  • yellowcard Dimitrios Keramitsis 65'
  • yellowcard Hussein Ali 79'
  • goal M. Agger 83'

Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Pogon Szczecin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Apr 24, 2026 7.30pm
Jagiellonia 1 - 2 Gornik
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Afimico Pululu

Pogon Szczecin

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
May 3, 2026 4.30pm
Szczecin 3 - 0 Wisla Plock
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Paul Mukairu

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 47.9%. A win for Pogon Szczecin had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Pogon Szczecin win was 1-2 (7.5%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result

Jagiellonia Bialystok 47.9% (+0.01)
Draw 23.75%
Pogon Szczecin 28.35% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.6%

Goals

Over 1.5 79.97%
Under 1.5 20.03%
Over 2.5 58.31%
Under 2.5 41.69%
Over 3.5 34.57%
Under 3.5 65.43%
Over 4.5 20.2% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 79.8% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Jagiellonia Bialystok 36.95%
Draw 39.49%
Pogon Szczecin 23.56%

Team To Score First

Jagiellonia Bialystok 56.11%
No Goal 5.32%
Pogon Szczecin 38.57%

Corners

Over 8 63.41%
Equal 8 10.9%
Under 8 25.69%
Over 9 51.8%
Equal 9 11.62%
Under 9 36.59%
Over 10.5 40.46%
Under 10.5 59.54%

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 1.5 49.72%
Under 1.5 50.28%
Over 2.5 23.65% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 76.35% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 8.96%
Under 3.5 91.04%

Pogon Szczecin Goals

Over 0.5 65.74% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 34.26% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 33.62% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 66.38% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 12.92% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 87.08% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.64%
Under 3.5 96.36%

Score analysis

Jagiellonia Bialystok 47.9%
Draw 23.76%
Pogon Szczecin 28.36%
Jagiellonia Bialystok
2-1 @ 10.17%
1-0 @ 8.66%
2-0 @ 7.31%
3-1 @ 5.3%
3-0 @ 4.22% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.47%
Other @ 8.77%
Total : 47.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.58%
2-2 @ 5.97%
0-0 @ 5.32%
3-3 @ 1.7%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.76%
Pogon Szczecin
1-2 @ 7.5%
0-1 @ 6.07%
0-2 @ 3.76%
1-3 @ 3.1%
2-3 @ 2.62% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.86%
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 28.36%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
Nov 9, 2025 4.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 34
May 24, 2025 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Miejski
  • Norbert Wojtuszek 71' goal
  • Oskar Pietuszewski 79' yellowcard
  • Mateusz Skrzypczak 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fredrik Ulvestad 27'
  • goal Efthymios Koulouris 32'
  • yellowcard Linus Wahlqvist 72'
  • yellowcard Danijel Loncar 80'
  • yellowcard Kacper Smolinski 90'+2'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 17
Dec 1, 2024 1.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera
  • Efthymios Koulouris 14' goal
  • Benedikt Zech 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tomas Silva 38'
  • goal Jesus Imaz 54'
  • yellowcard Darko Churlinov 66'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 30
Apr 26, 2024 7.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Stadion Miejski
  • Afimico Pululu 24' goal
  • Jesus Imaz 45' goal
  • Taras Romanczuk 50' yellowcard
  • Adrian Dieguez 59' yellowcard
  • Michal Sacek 87' yellowcard
  • goal Kamil Grosicki 15'
  • goal Leo Borges 57'
  • yellowcard Fredrik Ulvestad 62'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 13
Oct 28, 2023 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera
  • Rafal Kurzawa 37' yellowcard
  • Efthymios Koulouris 44' goal
  • Kamil Grosicki 48' goal
  • Kacper Smolinski 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Mariusz Malec 35' (OG)
  • yellowcard Taras Romanczuk 90'+8'