Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Korona Kielce win with a probability of 47.42%. A win for Katowice had a probability of 27.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Korona Kielce win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Katowice win was 1-2 (7.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.