Polish Ekstraklasa
May 17, 2026 1.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion ul. Bukowa
  • Bartosz Nowak 3' goal
  • Marcel Wedrychowski 65' yellowcard
  • Ilya Shkurin 65' yellowcard
  • Damian Rasak 65' yellowcard
  • Borja Galán 78' goal
  • Lukas Klemenz 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Erik Jirka 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Bernardo Vital 31'
  • yellowcard Afimico Pululu 56'
  • yellowcard Bartosz Mazurek 63'
  • yellowcard Samed Bazdar 63'
  • yellowcard Kamil Jozwiak 76'
  • yellowcard Matías Nahuel 90'+3'

Katowice vs Jagiellonia Bialystok - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Katowice

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
May 10, 2026 11.15am
Piast Gliwice 0 - 0 Katowice
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Eman Markovic

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
May 13, 2026 7.30pm
Rakow 0 - 2 Jagiellonia
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Afimico Pululu

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 38.75%. A win for Katowice had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.57%) and 0-2 (5.67%). The likeliest Katowice win was 2-1 (8.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result

Katowice 34.27% (-0.80)
Draw 26.93%
Jagiellonia Bialystok 38.75% (+0.71)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.85% (+0.50)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.08% (+0.63)
Under 1.5 20.92% (-0.63)
Over 2.5 56.37% (+1.06)
Under 2.5 43.63% (-1.06)
Over 3.5 34.68% (+2.44)
Under 3.5 65.32% (-2.45)
Over 4.5 19.7% (+1.70)
Under 4.5 80.3% (-1.71)

First Half Winner

Katowice 29% (-0.47)
Draw 41.06% (-0.36)
Jagiellonia Bialystok 29.94% (+0.83)

Team To Score First

Katowice 50.42% (+1.21)
No Goal 5.98% (-0.12)
Jagiellonia Bialystok 43.6% (-1.08)

Corners

Over 8 67.57% (+3.54)
Equal 8 10.1% (-0.56)
Under 8 22.33% (-3.00)
Over 9 56.43% (+3.80)
Equal 9 11.14% (-0.26)
Under 9 32.43% (-3.54)
Over 10.5 45.18% (+3.75)
Under 10.5 54.82% (-3.75)

Katowice Goals

Over 1.5 39.17% (+0.82)
Under 1.5 60.83% (-0.82)
Over 2.5 16.18% (+0.63)
Under 2.5 83.82% (-0.64)
Over 3.5 5.32% (+0.41)
Under 3.5 94.68% (-0.40)

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 0.5 74.73% (+1.04)
Under 0.5 25.27% (-1.04)
Over 1.5 43.1% (+1.83)
Under 1.5 56.9% (-1.83)
Over 2.5 18.82% (+0.97)
Under 2.5 81.18% (-0.96)
Over 3.5 6.75% (+0.83)
Under 3.5 93.25% (-0.83)

Score analysis

Katowice 34.28%
Draw 26.94%
Jagiellonia Bialystok 38.75%
Katowice
2-1 @ 8.08% (-0.29)
1-0 @ 7.34% (-0.58)
2-0 @ 5.02% (-0.10)
3-1 @ 3.97% (+0.23)
3-2 @ 2.97% (+0.27)
3-0 @ 2.06% (-0.50)
Other @ 4.84% (+0.17)
Total : 34.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.01% (-0.72)
2-2 @ 6.61% (+0.38)
0-0 @ 5.98% (-0.12)
3-3 @ 1.86% (+0.24)
Other @ 0.48% (+0.23)
Total : 26.94%
Jagiellonia Bialystok
1-2 @ 9.03% (-0.14)
0-1 @ 7.57% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.67% (+0.37)
1-3 @ 4.41% (+0.17)
2-3 @ 3.28% (+0.19)
0-3 @ 2.52% (-0.46)
Other @ 6.27% (+0.60)
Total : 38.75%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 16
Mar 17, 2026 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stadion Miejski
  • Álex Pozo 11' goal
  • Taras Romanczuk 45' goal
  • Kajetan Szmyt 64' yellowcard
  • Samed Bazdar 79' yellowcard
  • Dawid Drachal 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Eman Markovic 46'
  • yellowcard Erik Jirka 46'
  • yellowcard Damian Rasak 46'
  • goal Erik Jirka 82'
  • yellowcard Jakub Kokosiński 82'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 23
Mar 2, 2025 4.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Miejski
  • Taras Romanczuk 36' goal
  • yellowcard Oskar Repka 47'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 6
Aug 25, 2024 1.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion ul. Bukowa
  • Adrian Blad 2' goal
  • Mateusz Kowalczyk 65' yellowcard
  • Mateusz Kowalczyk 73' goal
  • Adam Zreľak 76' yellowcard
  • Oskar Repka 90'+7' goal
  • goal Afimico Pululu 18'
  • yellowcard Lamine Diaby-Fadiga 58'