Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 33
May 17, 2026 1.45pm
Stadion ul. Bukowa

Katowice vs Jagiellonia Bialystok - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Katowice

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
May 10, 2026 11.15am
Piast Gliwice 0 - 0 Katowice
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Eman Markovic

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
May 9, 2026 4.30pm
Jagiellonia 3 - 2 Szczecin
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Afimico Pululu

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 38.16%. A win for Katowice has a probability of 35.01% and a draw has a probability of 26.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.95%) and 0-2 (5.49%). The likeliest Katowice win is 1-0 (8.3%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.59%).

Result

Katowice 35.01%
Draw 26.83%
Jagiellonia Bialystok 38.16%

Both Teams to Score: 

59.63%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.45%
Under 1.5 22.55%
Over 2.5 54.05%
Under 2.5 45.9%
Over 3.5 31.65%
Under 3.5 68.35%
Over 4.5 17.45%
Under 4.5 82.55%

First Half Winner

Katowice 28.82%
Draw 42.04%
Jagiellonia Bialystok 29.14%

Team To Score First

Katowice 47.59%
No Goal 6.3%
Jagiellonia Bialystok 46.11%

Corners

Over 8 65.05%
Equal 8 10.72%
Under 8 24.23%
Over 9 53.46%
Equal 9 11.59%
Under 9 34.95%
Over 10.5 42%
Under 10.5 58%

Katowice Goals

Over 1.5 37.61%
Under 1.5 62.39%
Over 2.5 15.02%
Under 2.5 84.98%
Over 3.5 4.68%
Under 3.5 95.32%

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 0.5 73.23%
Under 0.5 26.77%
Over 1.5 40.74%
Under 1.5 59.26%
Over 2.5 17.74%
Under 2.5 82.26%
Over 3.5 5.79%
Under 3.5 94.21%

Score analysis

Katowice 35.02%
Draw 26.82%
Jagiellonia Bialystok 38.16%
Katowice
1-0 @ 8.3%
2-1 @ 8.24%
2-0 @ 5.32%
3-1 @ 3.71%
3-2 @ 2.6%
3-0 @ 2.39%
Other @ 4.46%
Total : 35.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.59%
0-0 @ 6.3%
2-2 @ 6.07%
3-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 26.82%
Jagiellonia Bialystok
1-2 @ 8.84%
0-1 @ 7.95%
0-2 @ 5.49%
1-3 @ 4.42%
2-3 @ 2.96%
0-3 @ 2.93%
Other @ 5.57%
Total : 38.16%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 16
Mar 17, 2026 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stadion Miejski
  • Álex Pozo 11' goal
  • Taras Romanczuk 45' goal
  • Kajetan Szmyt 64' yellowcard
  • Samed Bazdar 79' yellowcard
  • Dawid Drachal 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Eman Markovic 46'
  • yellowcard Erik Jirka 46'
  • yellowcard Damian Rasak 46'
  • goal Erik Jirka 82'
  • yellowcard Jakub Kokosiński 82'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 23
Mar 2, 2025 4.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Miejski
  • Taras Romanczuk 36' goal
  • yellowcard Oskar Repka 47'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 6
Aug 25, 2024 1.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion ul. Bukowa
  • Adrian Blad 2' goal
  • Mateusz Kowalczyk 65' yellowcard
  • Mateusz Kowalczyk 73' goal
  • Adam Zreľak 76' yellowcard
  • Oskar Repka 90'+7' goal
  • goal Afimico Pululu 18'
  • yellowcard Lamine Diaby-Fadiga 58'