Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 41.62%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 31.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-2 (7.75%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.