Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 49.15%. A win for Korona Kielce had a probability of 25.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.78%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Korona Kielce win was 1-2 (6.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.