Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 2
Aug 8, 2026 6.30pm
PROfertil ARENA

Hartberg vs Sturm Graz - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hartberg

All competitions
Austrian Bundesliga
Last game
Aug 1, 2026 6.30pm
Salzburg 1 - 0 Hartberg

Sturm Graz

All competitions
Austrian Bundesliga
Last game
Aug 1, 2026 4.00pm
Swarovski 1 - 1 Sturm Graz

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 40.42%. A win for Hartberg has a probability of 32.81% and a draw has a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Hartberg win is 1-0 (9.51%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.05%).

Result

Hartberg 32.81% (+3.60)
Draw 26.8% (-0.93)
Sturm Graz 40.42% (-2.63)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.89% (+0.32)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.34% (+0.19)
Under 1.5 28.66% (-0.20)
Over 2.5 46.92% (+0.28)
Under 2.5 53.08% (-0.28)
Over 3.5 25.81% (+0.31)
Under 3.5 74.19% (-0.32)
Over 4.5 14.06% (+0.23)
Under 4.5 85.94% (-0.22)

First Half Winner

Hartberg 25.65% (+2.36)
Draw 41.01% (-1.54)
Sturm Graz 33.33% (-0.85)

Team To Score First

Hartberg 40.94% (+4.23)
No Goal 8.67% (-0.31)
Sturm Graz 50.39% (-3.93)

Corners

Over 8 53.78% (-0.50)
Equal 8 12.21% (+0.34)
Under 8 34.01% (+0.17)
Over 9 41.73% (-0.78)
Equal 9 12.06% (+0.29)
Under 9 46.22% (+0.50)
Over 10.5 30.84% (-0.95)
Under 10.5 69.17% (+0.97)

Hartberg Goals

Over 1.5 31.7% (+2.51)
Under 1.5 68.3% (-2.52)
Over 2.5 11.6% (+1.66)
Under 2.5 88.4% (-1.65)
Over 3.5 3.54% (+0.71)
Under 3.5 96.46% (-0.72)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5 70.82% (-2.23)
Under 0.5 29.18% (+2.22)
Over 1.5 38.04% (-2.29)
Under 1.5 61.96% (+2.29)
Over 2.5 15.43% (-1.50)
Under 2.5 84.57% (+1.50)
Over 3.5 5.35% (-0.82)
Under 3.5 94.65% (+0.82)

Score analysis

Hartberg 32.82%
Draw 26.81%
Sturm Graz 40.42%
Hartberg
1-0 @ 9.51% (+0.67)
2-1 @ 7.31% (+0.35)
2-0 @ 5.37% (+0.63)
3-1 @ 2.89% (+0.40)
3-0 @ 2.22% (+0.42)
3-2 @ 2.06% (+0.30)
Other @ 3.46% (+0.88)
Total : 32.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.05% (-0.17)
0-0 @ 8.67% (-0.31)
2-2 @ 5.12% (-0.14)
Other @ 0.08% (-0.16)
Total : 26.81%
Sturm Graz
0-1 @ 10.53% (-0.50)
1-2 @ 8.44% (-0.40)
0-2 @ 6.99% (-0.55)
1-3 @ 3.75% (-0.17)
0-3 @ 3.14% (-0.40)
2-3 @ 2.3% (+0.03)
Other @ 5.27% (-0.66)
Total : 40.42%

Head to Head

Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 9
May 10, 2026 4.00pm
2
4
HT : 1 3
FT PROfertil ARENA
  • Luca Pazourek 9' goal
  • Damjan Kovacevic 46' yellowcard
  • Lukas Fridrikas 56' yellowcard
  • David Korherr 71' yellowcard
  • Paul Komposch 71' yellowcard
  • Lukas Spendlhofer 71' yellowcard
  • Jonas Karner 79' yellowcard
  • goal Albert Vallci 2'
  • goal Benjamin Markus 14' (OG)
  • goal Otar Kiteishvili 25'
  • yellowcard Luca Weinhandl 59'
  • yellowcard Paul Koller 59'
  • yellowcard Maurice Malone 63'
  • goal Luca Weinhandl 80'
  • yellowcard Gizo Mamageishvili 85'
  • yellowcard Stefan Hierländer 85'
Austrian Bundesliga
Apr 12, 2026 1.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Merkur Arena
  • Ryan Fosso 60' yellowcard
  • Maurice Malone 60' yellowcard
  • Rory Wilson 86' yellowcard
  • Stefan Hierländer 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Musibau Aziz 64'
  • yellowcard Maximilian Hennig 77'
  • yellowcard Youba Diarra 90'
  • yellowcard Julian Halwachs 90'
  • yellowcard Damjan Kovacevic 90'
Austrian Bundesliga
Nov 30, 2025 1.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Dominic Vincze 44' yellowcard
  • Jurgen Heil 79' yellowcard
  • Tobias Kainz 79' yellowcard
  • Tom Ritzy Hülsmann 79' yellowcard
  • Lukas Spendlhofer 82' yellowcard
  • 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Elias Havel 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Elias Havel 90'+7' yellowcard
  • 90'+7' yellowcard
  • Manfred Schmid 90'+7' redcard
  • yellowcard Tim Oermann 11'
  • yellowcard <TBD> 27'
  • yellowcard Emanuel Aiwu 27'
  • yellowcard Axel Kayombo 80'
  • goal Otar Kiteishvili 81'
  • yellowcard Arjan Malic 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Axel Kayombo 90'+3'
Austrian Bundesliga
Sep 28, 2025 1.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 13
Nov 9, 2024 4.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT PROfertil ARENA
  • Manfred Schmid 38' yellowcard
  • Fabian Wilfinger 44' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Markus 70' yellowcard
  • Furkan Demir 72' yellowcard
  • Donis Avdijaj 85' yellowcard
  • Chris Marco Hoffmann 90'+2' goal
  • goal Tochi Chukwuani 10'
  • yellowcard Dimitri Lavalee 37'
  • yellowcard Tochi Chukwuani 47'
  • goal Erencan Yardimci 57'
  • yellowcard Erencan Yardimci 59'
  • yellowcard Seedy Jatta 68'
Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 2
Aug 11, 2024 4.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Merkur Arena
  • Dimitri Lavalee 34' goal
  • Emanuel Aiwu 78' yellowcard
  • Lovro Zvonarek 83' yellowcard
  • Mika Biereth 86' goal
  • yellowcard Markus Schopp 0'
  • yellowcard Jurgen Heil 74'
  • yellowcard Fabian Wilfinger 90'+4'