Champions League
Aug 5, 2026 7.00pm
Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium

Fenerbahce vs Sturm Graz - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fenerbahce

All competitions

Sturm Graz

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 65.33%. A draw has a probability of 19.95% and a win for Sturm Graz has a probability of 14.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.07%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.83%) , while for a Sturm Graz win it is 0-1 (4.31%).

Result

Fenerbahce 65.33% (+0.04)
Draw 19.95% (-0.02)
Sturm Graz 14.73% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.19% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.7%
Under 1.5 22.3%
Over 2.5 55.88% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 44.16% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 34.18% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 65.82% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 22.53% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 77.47% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Fenerbahce 44.09%
Draw 36.38% (+0.03)
Sturm Graz 19.53% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Fenerbahce 63.64% (+0.04)
No Goal 6.01% (+0.03)
Sturm Graz 30.35% (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 66.83% (-0.02)
Equal 8 10.58%
Under 8 22.59% (+0.02)
Over 9 55.24% (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.59% (+0.01)
Under 9 33.17% (+0.03)
Over 10.5 43.68% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 56.32% (+0.01)

Fenerbahce Goals

Over 1.5 59.72% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 40.28% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 33.29%
Under 2.5 66.71%
Over 3.5 15.45%
Under 3.5 84.55%

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5 48.17% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 51.83% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 18.85% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 81.15% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 5.4% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 94.6% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 1.62% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 98.38% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Fenerbahce 65.34%
Draw 19.97%
Sturm Graz 14.72%
Fenerbahce
1-0 @ 12.01%
2-0 @ 11.07% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.88% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 7.33% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.3%
3-2 @ 3.31%
Other @ 15.44%
Total : 65.34%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.83%
0-0 @ 6.01% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.22% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 19.97%
Sturm Graz
0-1 @ 4.31%
1-2 @ 4.02% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.9%
2-3 @ 1.26% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.15% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.61% (-0.02)
Total : 14.72%

Head to Head

Europa League Qualifying
Aug 3, 2017 6.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Nabil Dirar 32' goal
  • Roman Neustadter 66' yellowcard
  • Alper Potuk 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard James Jeggo 23'
  • goal Philipp Huspek 66'
  • yellowcard Dario Maresic 75'
Europa League Qualifying
Jul 27, 2017 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Charalampos Lykogiannis 5' yellowcard
  • Stefan Hierlander 10' goal
  • Sandi Lovric 41' yellowcard
  • Stefan Hierlander 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ozan Tufan 13'
  • goal Dario Maresic 29' (OG)
  • goal Roman Neustadter 35'