Champions League
Aug 11, 2026 7.30pm
Merkur Arena

Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahce - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sturm Graz

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Aug 5, 2026 7.00pm
Fenerbahce 2 - 0 Sturm Graz

Fenerbahce

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Aug 5, 2026 7.00pm
Fenerbahce 2 - 0 Sturm Graz

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 51.49%. A draw has a probability of 25.1% and a win for Sturm Graz has a probability of 23.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.9%) , while for a Sturm Graz win it is 1-0 (6.43%).

Result

Sturm Graz 23.42%
Draw 25.1%
Fenerbahce 51.49% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.62% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.02% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 24.98% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 51.79% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 48.21% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 30.63% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 69.37% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 18.63% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 81.37% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Sturm Graz 21.39% (-0.04)
Draw 38.99% (+0.02)
Fenerbahce 39.62% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Sturm Graz 34.89%
No Goal 7.36% (+0.03)
Fenerbahce 57.75% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 65.26% (+0.03)
Equal 8 10.42% (+0.01)
Under 8 24.32% (-0.04)
Over 9 54% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.25% (+0.01)
Under 9 34.74% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 42.85%
Under 10.5 57.15%

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 1.5 26.81%
Under 1.5 73.19%
Over 2.5 9.76% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 90.24% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 3.14%
Under 3.5 96.86%

Fenerbahce Goals

Over 0.5 78.78% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 21.22% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 48.96% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 51.04% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 23.72%
Under 2.5 76.28%
Over 3.5 9.73% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 90.27% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Sturm Graz 23.43%
Draw 25.1%
Fenerbahce 51.49%
Sturm Graz
1-0 @ 6.43% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 5.62%
2-0 @ 3.25% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.09%
3-2 @ 1.84%
3-0 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 23.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.9%
0-0 @ 7.36% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.21% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 25.1%
Fenerbahce
0-1 @ 11.21% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 9.13%
0-2 @ 9.06% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 5.01%
1-3 @ 4.72% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.97% (+0.02)
Other @ 9.39% (-0.01)
Total : 51.49%

Head to Head

Champions League
Aug 5, 2026 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium
  • Talisca 9' goal
  • Mason Greenwood 45' goal
  • yellowcard Jon Gorenc Stankovic 21'
  • yellowcard Jürgen Heil 58'
  • yellowcard Axel Kayombo 65'
Europa League Qualifying
Aug 3, 2017 6.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Nabil Dirar 32' goal
  • Roman Neustadter 66' yellowcard
  • Alper Potuk 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard James Jeggo 23'
  • goal Philipp Huspek 66'
  • yellowcard Dario Maresic 75'
Europa League Qualifying
Jul 27, 2017 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Charalampos Lykogiannis 5' yellowcard
  • Stefan Hierlander 10' goal
  • Sandi Lovric 41' yellowcard
  • Stefan Hierlander 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ozan Tufan 13'
  • goal Dario Maresic 29' (OG)
  • goal Roman Neustadter 35'