Europa League Gameweek 1
Sep 16, 2026 8.00pm
Merkur Arena

Sturm Graz vs Rennes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sturm Graz

All competitions

Rennes

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rennes win with a probability of 42.43%. A win for Sturm Graz has a probability of 34.02% and a draw has a probability of 23.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win is 2-1 (7.71%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.39%).

Result

Sturm Graz 34.02%
Draw 23.51%
Rennes 42.43%

Both Teams to Score: 

58.3%

Goals

Over 1.5 80.16%
Under 1.5 19.84%
Over 2.5 59.14%
Under 2.5 40.82%
Over 3.5 36.92%
Under 3.5 63.08%
Over 4.5 22.61%
Under 4.5 77.39%

First Half Winner

Sturm Graz 29.59%
Draw 38.27%
Rennes 32.14%

Team To Score First

Sturm Graz 47.35%
No Goal 5.23%
Rennes 47.42%

Corners

Over 8 70.41%
Equal 8 9.1%
Under 8 20.49%
Over 9 60.18%
Equal 9 10.23%
Under 9 29.59%
Over 10.5 49.56%
Under 10.5 50.44%

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 1.5 39.05%
Under 1.5 60.95%
Over 2.5 17.51%
Under 2.5 82.49%
Over 3.5 7.09%
Under 3.5 92.91%

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5 74.69%
Under 0.5 25.31%
Over 1.5 44.63%
Under 1.5 55.37%
Over 2.5 21.64%
Under 2.5 78.36%
Over 3.5 8.1%
Under 3.5 91.9%

Score analysis

Sturm Graz 34.03%
Draw 23.51%
Rennes 42.42%
Sturm Graz
2-1 @ 7.71%
1-0 @ 6.33%
2-0 @ 4.48%
3-1 @ 3.72%
3-2 @ 2.56%
3-0 @ 2.44%
Other @ 6.79%
Total : 34.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.39%
2-2 @ 5.89%
0-0 @ 5.23%
3-3 @ 1.7%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.51%
Rennes
1-2 @ 8.39%
0-1 @ 8.24%
0-2 @ 6.15%
1-3 @ 4.7%
0-3 @ 3.68%
2-3 @ 3.46%
Other @ 7.8%
Total : 42.42%