Ligue 1 Gameweek 4
Rennes
Sep 11, 2026 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Roazhon Park
Marseille
  • Przemyslaw Frankowski 43' yellowcard
  • Adrien Thomasson  52' goal
  • yellowcard Himad Abdelli 33'
  • yellowcard Igor Paixão 43'
  • yellowcard Amine Harit 85'
  • yellowcard Timothy Weah 90'+4'

Rennes vs Marseille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Rennes

All competitions
Last game
Sep 6, 2026 4.15pm
Angers 1 - 2 Rennes
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Estéban Lepaul

Marseille

All competitions
Last game
Sep 6, 2026 7.45pm
Marseille 2 - 3 Paris FC
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Amine Gouiri

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 42.75%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.81%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Marseille win was 1-2 (7.55%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result

Rennes 42.75% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 22.77% ▼ (-0.02)
Marseille 34.48% ▲ (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.84% ▲ (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.97% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 19.03% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 60.22% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 2.5 39.78% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 37.39% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 62.61% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 4.5 23.13% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 76.87% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Rennes 28.9% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 35.59% ▲ (+0.03)
Marseille 35.51% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Rennes 43.88% ▲ (+0.03)
No Goal 5.17% ▼ (-0.03)
Marseille 50.95%

Corners

Over 8 55.2% ▼ (-0.03)
Equal 8 11.66%
Under 8 33.14% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 9 43.57% ▼ (-0.03)
Equal 9 11.63% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 44.8% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 10.5 32.91% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 10.5 67.09% ▲ (+0.02)

Rennes Goals

Over 1.5 45.77%
Under 1.5 54.23%
Over 2.5 21.61%
Under 2.5 78.39%
Over 3.5 8.16% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 91.84% ▲ (+0.02)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5 68.48% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 0.5 31.52% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 1.5 39.32% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 60.68% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 18.43% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 81.57% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 7.41% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 92.59% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Rennes 42.76%
Draw 22.77%
Marseille 34.48%
Rennes
2-1 @ 8.56% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.81% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 6.6% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.66% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.06% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.18% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 7.89% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 42.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.88%
2-2 @ 5.9% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.17% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.77%
Marseille
1-2 @ 7.55% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.06%
0-2 @ 4.26%
1-3 @ 3.7% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 3.1% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.67%
Other @ 7.14% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 34.48%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Marseille
May 17, 2026 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stade Vélodrome
Rennes
  • Pierre-Emile Højbjerg 2' goal
  • Amine Gouiri 10' goal
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 55' goal
  • Arthur Vermeeren 72' yellowcard
  • Quinten Timber 82' yellowcard
  • Nouhoum Kamissoko 83' yellowcard
  • Quinten Timber 83' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Pavard 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Breel Embolo 46'
  • yellowcard Arnaud Nordin 67'
  • yellowcard Nordan Mukiele 79'
  • yellowcard Nordan Mukiele 80'
  • goal Estéban Lepaul 84'
Coupe de France
Marseille
Feb 3, 2026 8.10pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Vélodrome
Rennes
  • Amine Gouiri 2' goal
  • Mason Greenwood 46' goal
  • Bilal Nadir 46' yellowcard
  • Geoffrey Kondogbia 70' yellowcard
  • Hamed Traore 78' yellowcard
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 78' yellowcard
  • Hamed Junior Traoré 78' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Pavard 82' yellowcard
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 83' goal
  • yellowcard Mahamadou Nagida 31'
  • yellowcard Breel Embolo 46'
  • yellowcard Ludovic Blas 58'
  • yellowcard Lilian Brassier 79'
  • yellowcard Elías Legendre 79'
  • yellowcard Elías Legendre Quiñónez 79'
Ligue 1
Rennes
Aug 15, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Marseille
Ligue 1 Gameweek 34
Marseille
May 17, 2025 8.00pm
4
2
HT : 3 1
FT Stade Velodrome
Rennes
  • Mason Greenwood 21' goal
  • Adrien Rabiot 38' goal
  • Luiz Felipe 40' yellowcard
  • Mason Greenwood 45'+1' goal
  • Michael Murillo 64' yellowcard
  • Amar Dedic 89' yellowcard
  • Adrien Rabiot 90'+2' goal
  • goal Ismael Kone 14'
  • yellowcard Ismael Kone 29'
  • yellowcard Anthony Rouault 30'
  • yellowcard Lorenz Assignon 50'
  • goal Andres Gomez 77'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 17
Rennes
Jan 11, 2025 8.05pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Roazhon Park
Marseille
  • Arnaud Kalimuendo 43' goal
  • Hans Hateboer 63' yellowcard
  • Lorenz Assignon 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Mason Greenwood 45'
  • goal Adrien Rabiot 49'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Balerdi 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Derek Cornelius 90'+6'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 26
Rennes
Mar 17, 2024 4.05pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Roazhon Park
Marseille
  • Martin Terrier 21' goal
  • Benjamin Bourigeaud 77' goal
  • Arnaud Kalimuendo 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Amine Harit 38'
  • yellowcard Pau Lopez 76'
  • yellowcard Ismaila Sarr 80'

Form Data

Angers 1 - 2 Rennes
Rennes 3 - 2 Le Mans
Rennes 2 - 2 PSG
Sunderland 2 - 1 Rennes
Rennes 2 - 4 Brentford
Rennes 1 - 2 Brentford
Marseille 2 - 3 Paris FC
Monaco 2 - 0 Marseille
Marseille 4 - 0 Strasbourg
Marseille 1 - 2 Atletico
Marseille 3 - 1 Athletic Bilbao
Marseille 3 - 0 Al Shahaniya