Ligue 1 Gameweek 4
Sep 11, 2026 7.45pm
Roazhon Park

Rennes vs Marseille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rennes

All competitions
Last game
Sep 6, 2026 4.15pm
Angers 1 - 2 Rennes
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Estéban Lepaul

Marseille

All competitions
Last game
Sep 6, 2026 7.45pm
Marseille 2 - 3 Paris FC
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Amine Gouiri

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rennes win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for Marseille has a probability of 35.53% and a draw has a probability of 22.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.34%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Marseille win is 1-2 (7.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.81%).

Result

Rennes 41.79% (+0.07)
Draw 22.68%
Marseille 35.53% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.06% (-0.20)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.75% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 18.25% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 61.37% (-0.17)
Under 2.5 38.63% (+0.17)
Over 3.5 38.44% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 61.56% (+0.18)
Over 4.5 23.89% (-0.13)
Under 4.5 76.11% (+0.13)

First Half Winner

Rennes 28.88%
Draw 35.53%
Marseille 35.59%

Team To Score First

Rennes 44.24% (-0.02)
No Goal 4.89% (+0.05)
Marseille 50.87% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 55.44%
Equal 8 11.65%
Under 8 32.92%
Over 9 43.8%
Equal 9 11.64%
Under 9 44.56%
Over 10.5 33.11%
Under 10.5 66.89%

Rennes Goals

Over 1.5 45.64% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 54.36% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 21.63% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 78.37% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 8.21% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 91.79% (+0.06)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5 69.76% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 30.24% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 40.77% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 59.23% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 19.27% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 80.73% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 7.85% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 92.15% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Rennes 41.79%
Draw 22.68%
Marseille 35.52%
Rennes
2-1 @ 8.52% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.34% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 6.2% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.65% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.87% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.28% (-0.03)
Other @ 7.93% (-0.05)
Total : 41.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.81% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.08% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 4.89% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.62% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.28% (-0.01)
Total : 22.68%
Marseille
1-2 @ 7.76% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.01% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.38%
1-3 @ 3.82% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.21% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.77%
Other @ 7.57% (-0.02)
Total : 35.52%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
May 17, 2026 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stade Vélodrome
  • Pierre-Emile Højbjerg 2' goal
  • Amine Gouiri 10' goal
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 55' goal
  • Arthur Vermeeren 72' yellowcard
  • Quinten Timber 82' yellowcard
  • Nouhoum Kamissoko 83' yellowcard
  • Quinten Timber 83' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Pavard 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Breel Embolo 46'
  • yellowcard Arnaud Nordin 67'
  • yellowcard Nordan Mukiele 79'
  • yellowcard Nordan Mukiele 80'
  • goal Estéban Lepaul 84'
Coupe de France
Feb 3, 2026 8.10pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Vélodrome
  • Amine Gouiri 2' goal
  • Mason Greenwood 46' goal
  • Bilal Nadir 46' yellowcard
  • Geoffrey Kondogbia 70' yellowcard
  • Hamed Traore 78' yellowcard
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 78' yellowcard
  • Hamed Junior Traoré 78' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Pavard 82' yellowcard
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 83' goal
  • yellowcard Mahamadou Nagida 31'
  • yellowcard Breel Embolo 46'
  • yellowcard Ludovic Blas 58'
  • yellowcard Lilian Brassier 79'
  • yellowcard Elías Legendre 79'
  • yellowcard Elías Legendre Quiñónez 79'
Ligue 1
Aug 15, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 34
May 17, 2025 8.00pm
4
2
HT : 3 1
FT Stade Velodrome
  • Mason Greenwood 21' goal
  • Adrien Rabiot 38' goal
  • Luiz Felipe 40' yellowcard
  • Mason Greenwood 45'+1' goal
  • Michael Murillo 64' yellowcard
  • Amar Dedic 89' yellowcard
  • Adrien Rabiot 90'+2' goal
  • goal Ismael Kone 14'
  • yellowcard Ismael Kone 29'
  • yellowcard Anthony Rouault 30'
  • yellowcard Lorenz Assignon 50'
  • goal Andres Gomez 77'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 17
Jan 11, 2025 8.05pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Roazhon Park
  • Arnaud Kalimuendo 43' goal
  • Hans Hateboer 63' yellowcard
  • Lorenz Assignon 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Mason Greenwood 45'
  • goal Adrien Rabiot 49'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Balerdi 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Derek Cornelius 90'+6'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 26
Mar 17, 2024 4.05pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Roazhon Park
  • Martin Terrier 21' goal
  • Benjamin Bourigeaud 77' goal
  • Arnaud Kalimuendo 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Amine Harit 38'
  • yellowcard Pau Lopez 76'
  • yellowcard Ismaila Sarr 80'