Club Friendlies 1
Aug 14, 2026 4.30pm
Stade Vélodrome

Marseille vs Atletico Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Club Friendlies 1
Last game
Aug 9, 2026 12.00pm
Man City 3 - 1 Atletico

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Marseille win with a probability of 49.36%. A win for Atletico Madrid has a probability of 26.49% and a draw has a probability of 24.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win is 1-2 (6.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.24%).

Result

Marseille 49.36% (+0.26)
Draw 24.14% (-0.11)
Atletico Madrid 26.49% (-0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.81% (+0.25)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.56% (+0.22)
Under 1.5 17.44% (-0.21)
Over 2.5 61.91% (+0.34)
Under 2.5 38.09% (-0.34)
Over 3.5 40.37% (+0.72)
Under 3.5 59.63% (-0.72)
Over 4.5 25.22% (+0.56)
Under 4.5 74.78% (-0.57)

First Half Winner

Marseille 39.7% (-0.02)
Draw 37.74% (-0.04)
Atletico Madrid 22.57% (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Marseille 57.91% (+0.18)
No Goal 4.85% (-0.12)
Atletico Madrid 37.24% (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 58.84% (-0.28)
Equal 8 11.22% (+0.01)
Under 8 29.95% (+0.28)
Over 9 47.36% (-0.26)
Equal 9 11.48% (-0.02)
Under 9 41.16% (+0.28)
Over 10.5 36.56% (-0.22)
Under 10.5 63.44% (+0.22)

Marseille Goals

Over 1.5 53.58% (+0.47)
Under 1.5 46.42% (-0.47)
Over 2.5 28.33% (+0.47)
Under 2.5 71.67% (-0.47)
Over 3.5 12.63% (+0.37)
Under 3.5 87.37% (-0.36)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 64.75% (-0.15)
Under 0.5 35.25% (+0.15)
Over 1.5 34.37% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 65.63% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 13.71% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 86.29% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 4.73% (+0.12)
Under 3.5 95.27% (-0.11)

Score analysis

Marseille 49.36%
Draw 24.14%
Atletico Madrid 26.49%
Marseille
2-1 @ 9.27% (-0.10)
1-0 @ 7.48% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 6.74% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.77% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 4.13% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.93% (+0.07)
Other @ 12.04% (+0.33)
Total : 49.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.24% (-0.13)
2-2 @ 6.59% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 4.85% (-0.12)
3-3 @ 1.87% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.59% (+0.03)
Total : 24.14%
Atletico Madrid
1-2 @ 6.45% (-0.13)
0-1 @ 5.1% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 3.69% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.78% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.65% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.68% (-0.12)
Other @ 4.14% (+0.09)
Total : 26.49%

Head to Head

Europa League
May 16, 2018 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Groupama Stadium (Décines-Charpieu)
  • Jordan Amavi 38' yellowcard
  • Luiz Gustavo 75' yellowcard
  • Clinton N'Jie 78' yellowcard
  • goal Antoine Griezmann 21'
  • yellowcard Sime Vrsaljko 23'
  • goal Antoine Griezmann 49'
  • yellowcard Lucas 78'
  • goal Gabi 89'