Club Friendlies 3
Aug 9, 2026 4.30pm
Stade Vélodrome

Marseille vs Athletic Bilbao - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 30, 2026 5.00pm
Marseille 2 - 1 Nimes

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Aug 1, 2026 6.00pm
Burgos 0 - 3 Athletic Bilbao

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 40.42%. A win for Marseille has a probability of 33.6% and a draw has a probability of 25.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Athletic Bilbao win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.93%) and 0-2 (6.03%). The likeliest Marseille win is 2-1 (7.85%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.56%).

Result

Marseille 33.6%
Draw 25.99%
Athletic Bilbao 40.42%

Both Teams to Score: 

58.25%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.95%
Under 1.5 21.05%
Over 2.5 56.53%
Under 2.5 43.47%
Over 3.5 34.21%
Under 3.5 65.79%
Over 4.5 20.14%
Under 4.5 79.86%

First Half Winner

Marseille 25.48%
Draw 41.54%
Athletic Bilbao 32.98%

Team To Score First

Marseille 40.81%
No Goal 5.99%
Athletic Bilbao 53.2%

Corners

Over 8 56.26%
Equal 8 11.9%
Under 8 31.85%
Over 9 44.29%
Equal 9 11.97%
Under 9 43.74%
Over 10.5 33.26%
Under 10.5 66.74%

Marseille Goals

Over 1.5 38.23%
Under 1.5 61.77%
Over 2.5 15.98%
Under 2.5 84.02%
Over 3.5 5.52%
Under 3.5 94.48%

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5 74.54%
Under 0.5 25.46%
Over 1.5 43.67%
Under 1.5 56.33%
Over 2.5 19.86%
Under 2.5 80.14%
Over 3.5 7.12%
Under 3.5 92.88%

Score analysis

Marseille 33.6%
Draw 25.99%
Athletic Bilbao 40.41%
Marseille
2-1 @ 7.85%
1-0 @ 7.13%
2-0 @ 4.83%
3-1 @ 3.53%
3-2 @ 2.75%
3-0 @ 2.37%
Other @ 5.14%
Total : 33.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.56%
2-2 @ 6.25%
0-0 @ 5.99%
3-3 @ 1.81%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 25.99%
Athletic Bilbao
1-2 @ 8.78%
0-1 @ 7.93%
0-2 @ 6.03%
1-3 @ 4.3%
2-3 @ 3.32%
0-3 @ 3.31%
Other @ 6.74%
Total : 40.41%

Head to Head

Europa League
Mar 15, 2018 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Aritz Aduriz 15' yellowcard
  • Inaki Williams 61' yellowcard
  • Inaki Williams 74' goal
  • Aritz Aduriz 76' redcard
  • goal Dimitri Payet 38'
  • yellowcard Adil Rami 48'
  • goal Lucas Ocampos 52'
Europa League
Mar 8, 2018 8.05pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Lucas Ocampos 1' goal
  • Dimitri Payet 14' goal
  • Valere Germain 38' yellowcard
  • Adil Rami 45' yellowcard
  • Dimitri Payet 45' yellowcard
  • Lucas Ocampos 58' goal
  • Maxime Lopez 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Raul Garcia 13'
  • goal Aritz Aduriz 45'
  • yellowcard Mikel San Jose 56'
  • yellowcard Markel Susaeta 60'
  • yellowcard Benat Etxebarria 82'
Europa League
Feb 25, 2016 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • San Jose 38' yellowcard
  • Aritz Aduriz 53' yellowcard
  • Sabin 81' goal
  • yellowcard Nicolas N'Koulou 34'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Mendy 38'
  • goal Michy Batshuayi 40'
  • yellowcard Georges-Kevin N'Koudou 75'
  • yellowcard Lassana Diarra 93'
Europa League
Feb 18, 2016 8.05pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Lassana Diarra 77' yellowcard
  • Mauricio Isla 89' yellowcard
  • goal Aritz Aduriz 54'
  • yellowcard Benat 60'
  • yellowcard Mikel Balenziaga 82'
  • yellowcard Gorka Elustondo 92'