Ligue 1 Gameweek 33
May 10, 2026 8.00pm
Stade Océane

Le Havre vs Marseille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Le Havre

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2026 2.00pm
Lille 1 - 1 Le Havre
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Issa Soumare

Marseille

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 2.00pm
Nantes 3 - 0 Marseille
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Amine Gouiri

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Marseille win with a probability of 50.12%. A win for Le Havre has a probability of 26.61% and a draw has a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Le Havre win is 1-0 (6.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.68%).

Result

Le Havre 26.61% (+0.06)
Draw 23.3% (+0.04)
Marseille 50.12% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.36% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.03% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 19.97% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 57.85% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 42.15% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 36.46% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 63.54% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 21.26% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 78.74% (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Le Havre 21.12% (+0.02)
Draw 38.58% (+0.02)
Marseille 40.3% (-0.05)

Team To Score First

Le Havre 35.22% (+0.02)
No Goal 5.06% (+0.01)
Marseille 59.72% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 54.22% (-0.07)
Equal 8 12.3% (-0.01)
Under 8 33.48% (+0.08)
Over 9 42.04% (-0.06)
Equal 9 12.18% (-0.02)
Under 9 45.78% (+0.07)
Over 10.5 31.02% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 68.98% (+0.05)

Le Havre Goals

Over 1.5 31.87% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 68.13% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 11.73% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 88.27% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 3.84% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.16% (-0.03)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5 79.82%
Under 0.5 20.18%
Over 1.5 51.26% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 48.74% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 25.49% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 74.51% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 9.99% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 90.01% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Le Havre 26.62%
Draw 23.3%
Marseille 50.13%
Le Havre
1-0 @ 6.18% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 6.18% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.9% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 2.92% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.35%
3-0 @ 1.33%
Other @ 3.76% (+0.02)
Total : 26.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.68% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.19% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.06% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.29% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 23.3%
Marseille
1-2 @ 9.63%
0-1 @ 8.78%
0-2 @ 7.6% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 6.09%
0-3 @ 4.25% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 3.87%
Other @ 9.91% (-0.01)
Total : 50.13%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Oct 18, 2025 8.05pm
6
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 33
May 10, 2025 8.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Oceane
  • Loic Nego 48' yellowcard
  • Issa Soumare 66' goal
  • Timothee Pembele 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leonardo Balerdi 52'
  • goal Amine Gouiri 56'
  • goal Mason Greenwood 85'
  • yellowcard Mason Greenwood 87'
  • goal Amine Gouiri 90'+9'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 16
Jan 5, 2025 7.45pm
5
1
HT : 4 0
FT Stade Velodrome
  • 25' goal
  • Valentin Rongier 25' goal
  • Bilal Nadir 39' goal
  • Neal Maupay 43' goal
  • Bilal Nadir 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Elye Wahi 66' goal
  • Ulisses Garcia 75' goal
  • goal Andre Ayew 85'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 34
May 19, 2024 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Oceane
  • Emmanuel Sabbi 82' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Bayo 90'+7' goal
  • goal Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 64'
  • goal Michael Murillo 77'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 8
Oct 8, 2023 12.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stade Velodrome
  • Arouna Sangante 18' goal
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 21' goal
  • Ismaila Sarr 84' goal
  • yellowcard Rassoul N'Diaye 12'
  • redcard Rassoul N'Diaye 40'
  • yellowcard Josue Casimir 50'