Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 50.19%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 26.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 1-0 (6.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.