Ligue 1 Gameweek 33
May 10, 2026 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Océane
  • Sofiane Boufal 71' yellowcard
  • Simon Ebonog 72' yellowcard
  • Timothée Pembélé 72' yellowcard
  • Enzo Koffi Vinette 80' yellowcard
  • 89' yellowcard
  • Yassine Kechta 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mason Greenwood 55'
  • yellowcard Arthur Vermeeren 66'
  • yellowcard Nouhoum Kamissoko 86'
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Israel Ange Lago 87'
  • yellowcard Nouhoum Kamissoko 87'
  • yellowcard 89'
  • yellowcard Ugo Lamare El Kadmiri 90'

Le Havre vs Marseille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Le Havre

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2026 2.00pm
Lille 1 - 1 Le Havre
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Issa Soumare

Marseille

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 2.00pm
Nantes 3 - 0 Marseille
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Amine Gouiri

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 50.19%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 26.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 1-0 (6.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result

Le Havre 26.5% (-0.08)
Draw 23.3%
Marseille 50.19% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.23% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.96% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 20.04% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 57.75% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 42.25% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 36.35% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 63.65% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 21.19% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 78.81% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Le Havre 21.13%
Draw 38.57%
Marseille 40.3%

Team To Score First

Le Havre 35.23%
No Goal 5.07%
Marseille 59.7%

Corners

Over 8 54.19%
Equal 8 12.3%
Under 8 33.51%
Over 9 42.01%
Equal 9 12.18%
Under 9 45.81%
Over 10.5 31%
Under 10.5 69%

Le Havre Goals

Over 1.5 31.72% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 68.28% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 11.64% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 88.36% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 3.8% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.2% (+0.02)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5 79.85% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 20.15% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 51.27% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 48.73% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 25.5% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 74.5% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 9.99% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 90.01% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Le Havre 26.51%
Draw 23.3%
Marseille 50.21%
Le Havre
1-0 @ 6.18% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 6.17% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 3.88% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.9% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.34%
3-0 @ 1.32% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.72% (-0.03)
Total : 26.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.7% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 6.17% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.07%
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 23.3%
Marseille
1-2 @ 9.64%
0-1 @ 8.81% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 7.62% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 6.09% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.28% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.86%
Other @ 9.91% (+0.01)
Total : 50.21%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Oct 18, 2025 8.05pm
6
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 33
May 10, 2025 8.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Oceane
  • Loic Nego 48' yellowcard
  • Issa Soumare 66' goal
  • Timothee Pembele 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leonardo Balerdi 52'
  • goal Amine Gouiri 56'
  • goal Mason Greenwood 85'
  • yellowcard Mason Greenwood 87'
  • goal Amine Gouiri 90'+9'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 16
Jan 5, 2025 7.45pm
5
1
HT : 4 0
FT Stade Velodrome
  • 25' goal
  • Valentin Rongier 25' goal
  • Bilal Nadir 39' goal
  • Neal Maupay 43' goal
  • Bilal Nadir 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Elye Wahi 66' goal
  • Ulisses Garcia 75' goal
  • goal Andre Ayew 85'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 34
May 19, 2024 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Oceane
  • Emmanuel Sabbi 82' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Bayo 90'+7' goal
  • goal Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 64'
  • goal Michael Murillo 77'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 8
Oct 8, 2023 12.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stade Velodrome
  • Arouna Sangante 18' goal
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 21' goal
  • Ismaila Sarr 84' goal
  • yellowcard Rassoul N'Diaye 12'
  • redcard Rassoul N'Diaye 40'
  • yellowcard Josue Casimir 50'