Ligue 1 Gameweek 32
May 3, 2026 2.00pm
Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Lille vs Le Havre - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 4.15pm
Paris FC 0 - 1 Lille
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Matías Fernández-Pardo

Le Havre

All competitions
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 4.15pm
Le Havre 4 - 4 Metz
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Issa Soumare

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lille win with a probability of 57.75%. A draw has a probability of 24.37% and a win for Le Havre has a probability of 17.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (10.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.28%) , while for a Le Havre win it is 0-1 (6.46%).

Result

Lille 57.75%
Draw 24.37%
Le Havre 17.88%

Both Teams to Score: 

46.18%

Goals

Over 1.5 70.9%
Under 1.5 29.1%
Over 2.5 45.66%
Under 2.5 54.3% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 23.78% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 76.22% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 13.55% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 86.45% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Lille 43.5%
Draw 41.23%
Le Havre 15.27%

Team To Score First

Lille 64.77%
No Goal 8.55%
Le Havre 26.68%

Corners

Over 8 53.72%
Equal 8 12.49%
Under 8 33.78%
Over 9 41.37%
Equal 9 12.35%
Under 9 46.28%
Over 10.5 30.25%
Under 10.5 69.75%

Lille Goals

Over 1.5 49.21% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 50.79% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 22.93% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 77.07% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 8.53%
Under 3.5 91.47%

Le Havre Goals

Over 0.5 51.27% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 48.73% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 18.41% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 81.59% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 4.66% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 95.34% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 0.95% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 99.05% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Lille 57.74%
Draw 24.37%
Le Havre 17.89%
Lille
1-0 @ 14.09%
2-0 @ 11.37%
2-1 @ 10.02% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.22% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.1%
3-2 @ 2.44%
Other @ 8.5%
Total : 57.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.28%
0-0 @ 8.55%
2-2 @ 3.87%
Other @ 0.03%
Total : 24.37%
Le Havre
0-1 @ 6.46%
1-2 @ 4.85%
0-2 @ 2.59%
1-3 @ 1.25% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.92% (+0.02)
Total : 17.89%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Nov 30, 2025 4.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Mbwana Samatta 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nathan Ngoy 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Thomas Meunier 45'+3'
  • redcard Ayyoub Bouaddi 51'
  • goal Igmane Hamza 88'
  • yellowcard Hakon Arnar Haraldsson 90'+1'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 21
Feb 8, 2025 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Pierre-Mauroy
  • Ethan Mbappe Lottin 61' yellowcard
  • Mitchel Bakker 69' yellowcard
  • Chuba Akpom 90'+7' goal
  • goal Ahmed Mahgoub 38'
  • goal Issa Soumare 56'
  • yellowcard Yanis Zouaoui 67'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 6
Sep 28, 2024 6.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Stade Oceane
  • Yassine Kechta 44' yellowcard
  • Arthur Desmas 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Jonathan David 23'
  • goal Jonathan David 35'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Andre 68'
  • goal Jonathan David 79'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 22
Feb 17, 2024 4.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stade Pierre-Mauroy
  • Jonathan David 14' goal
  • Nabil Bentaleb 36' yellowcard
  • Jonathan David 44' goal
  • Jonathan David 49' goal
  • Hakon Arnar Haraldsson 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gautier Lloris 18'
  • yellowcard Abdoulaye Toure 65'
  • yellowcard Christopher Operi 83'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 7
Oct 1, 2023 2.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Oceane
  • goal Edon Zhegrova 40'
  • goal Yoann Salmier 52' (OG)