Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 57.62%. A draw had a probability of 24.27% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 18.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.21%) and 2-1 (10.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%) , while for a Le Havre win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.