Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 45.4%. A draw had a probability of 27.52% and a win for Metz had a probability of 27.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%) , while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (7.91%).