Club Friendlies 3
Aug 1, 2026 6.00pm
Estadio Municipal de El Plantío

Burgos vs Athletic Bilbao - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Burgos

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 18, 2026 6.00pm
Burgos 2 - 0 Real Sociedad B

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 29, 2026 6.00pm
Racing 0 - 3 Athletic Bilbao

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 45.76%. A draw has a probability of 27.73% and a win for Burgos has a probability of 26.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Athletic Bilbao win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.83%) , while for a Burgos win it is 1-0 (8.51%).

Result

Burgos 26.51% (-0.57)
Draw 27.73% (+0.47)
Athletic Bilbao 45.76% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.51% (-0.20)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.66% (-1.02)
Under 1.5 30.34% (+1.02)
Over 2.5 44.75% (-1.22)
Under 2.5 55.25% (+1.22)
Over 3.5 23.44% (-0.69)
Under 3.5 76.56% (+0.69)
Over 4.5 12.64% (-0.34)
Under 4.5 87.36% (+0.35)

First Half Winner

Burgos 19.87% (-1.59)
Draw 46.46% (+1.15)
Athletic Bilbao 33.67% (+0.45)

Team To Score First

Burgos 32.28% (+0.70)
No Goal 9.87% (+0.36)
Athletic Bilbao 57.85% (-1.05)

Corners

Over 8 51.09% (+0.64)
Equal 8 12.15% (+0.25)
Under 8 36.76% (-0.89)
Over 9 39.35% (+0.33)
Equal 9 11.74% (+0.31)
Under 9 48.91% (-0.64)
Over 10.5 28.93% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 71.07% (-0.03)

Burgos Goals

Over 1.5 25.54% (-1.00)
Under 1.5 74.46% (+0.99)
Over 2.5 7.87% (-0.24)
Under 2.5 92.13% (+0.24)
Over 3.5 1.93% (-0.26)
Under 3.5 98.07% (+0.25)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5 74.01% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 25.99% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 40.23% (-0.71)
Under 1.5 59.77% (+0.71)
Over 2.5 17.86% (-0.27)
Under 2.5 82.14% (+0.27)
Over 3.5 6.16% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 93.84% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Burgos 26.49%
Draw 27.74%
Athletic Bilbao 45.76%
Burgos
1-0 @ 8.51% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 6.76% (-0.13)
2-0 @ 4.02% (-0.19)
3-1 @ 2.24% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 1.66%
3-2 @ 1.38% (+0.07)
Other @ 1.92% (-0.25)
Total : 26.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.83% (+0.32)
0-0 @ 9.87% (+0.36)
2-2 @ 4.37% (-0.22)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.74%
Athletic Bilbao
0-1 @ 11.95% (+0.61)
1-2 @ 8.56% (-0.37)
0-2 @ 8.06% (+0.09)
0-3 @ 4.32% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 4.2% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 2.52% (-0.23)
Other @ 6.15% (+0.07)
Total : 45.76%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Jul 20, 2024 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Municipal de El Plantio
  • Yuri Berchiche 2' goal
  • Florian Miguel 52' goal
  • goal Javier Marton 54'