Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 37.35%. A win for FC Andorra had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest FC Andorra win was 0-1 (9.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.