Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Andorra win with a probability of 59.18%. A draw had a probability of 21.91% and a win for Ceuta had a probability of 18.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Andorra win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%) , while for a Ceuta win it was 0-1 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.