Segunda Division Gameweek 40
May 16, 2026 3.15pm
1
4
HT : 0 3
FT Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube
  • Ignacio Schor 46' yellowcard
  • Aboubacar Bassinga 46' yellowcard
  • Yago Cantero 46' yellowcard
  • Einar Galilea 52' goal
  • Arick Betancourt 77' yellowcard
  • Josema 85' yellowcard
  • goal Joaquín Muñoz 4'
  • goal Chupe 13'
  • goal Chupe 42'
  • yellowcard Ramón Enríquez 46'
  • yellowcard Javi Montero 63'
  • yellowcard Aarón Ochoa 63'
  • yellowcard Julen Lobete 72'
  • yellowcard Darko Brasanac 80'
  • goal Aarón Ochoa 82'

Ceuta vs Malaga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ceuta

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
May 9, 2026 1.00pm
Ceuta 1 - 1 Castellon
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Kuki Zalazar

Malaga

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
May 9, 2026 8.00pm
Malaga 2 - 1 Sporting Gijon
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Chupe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 39.69%. A win for Ceuta had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.68%) and 0-2 (5.84%). The likeliest Ceuta win was 1-0 (7.99%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%).

Result

Ceuta 34.21%
Draw 26.1%
Malaga 39.69%

Both Teams to Score: 

58.71% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.03% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 22.97% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 53.73% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 46.27% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 31.56% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 68.44% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 17.18% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 82.82% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Ceuta 26.75%
Draw 44.1%
Malaga 29.14%

Team To Score First

Ceuta 46.59%
No Goal 6.3% (-0.01)
Malaga 47.11% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 59.66%
Equal 8 11.71%
Under 8 28.62%
Over 9 47.55%
Equal 9 12.11%
Under 9 40.34%
Over 10.5 36.12%
Under 10.5 63.88%

Ceuta Goals

Over 1.5 36.89% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 63.11% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 14.57% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 85.43% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.57% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 95.43% (-0.01)

Malaga Goals

Over 0.5 73.81% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 26.19% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 41.3% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 58.7% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 17.46% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 82.54% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 5.72% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.28% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Ceuta 34.21%
Draw 26.1%
Malaga 39.69%
Ceuta
1-0 @ 7.99% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 7.92%
2-0 @ 5.3% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.74%
3-2 @ 2.66% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.22%
Other @ 4.38% (+0.01)
Total : 34.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.17%
0-0 @ 6.3% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.06% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 26.1%
Malaga
1-2 @ 9.28%
0-1 @ 8.68% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.84%
1-3 @ 4.57%
2-3 @ 3.04% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.75%
Other @ 5.53% (+0.02)
Total : 39.69%

Head to Head

Segunda Division Gameweek 21
Jan 11, 2026 3.15pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
LIVE Estadio La Rosaleda
  • Carlos Ruiz Rubio 43' yellowcard
  • Carlos Ruiz Rubio 45'+1' goal
  • Aaron Ochoa Moloney 65' yellowcard
  • 65' yellowcard
  • goal Kuki Zalazar 3'
  • yellowcard Yann Bodiger 26'
  • yellowcard Marc Domenech 65'
  • yellowcard 65'
  • yellowcard Salvi 65'
  • yellowcard Aboubacar Bassinga 66'