Segunda Division Gameweek 39
May 9, 2026 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio La Rosaleda
  • Chupe 35' yellowcard
  • Chupe 36' yellowcard
  • Ramón Enríquez 46' yellowcard
  • Chupe 54' goal
  • Aarón Ochoa 69' yellowcard
  • Haitam Abaida 70' yellowcard
  • Rafa Rodríguez 83' yellowcard
  • Joaquín Muñoz 86' goal
  • goal Jonathan Dubasin 11'
  • yellowcard Juan Otero 59'
  • yellowcard Manu Rodríguez 76'
  • yellowcard Kevin Vázquez 76'
  • yellowcard Miguel Conde 90'
  • yellowcard Pablo García 90'

Malaga vs Sporting Gijon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Malaga

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
May 2, 2026 8.00pm
Eibar 2 - 4 Malaga
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Chupe

Sporting Gijon

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
May 3, 2026 3.15pm
Sporting Gijon 1 - 2 Ceuta
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Juan Otero

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 51.79%. A draw had a probability of 25.59% and a win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 22.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%) , while for a Sporting Gijon win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result

Malaga 51.79% (-0.31)
Draw 25.59% (+0.08)
Sporting Gijon 22.62% (+0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.75% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.07% (-0.19)
Under 1.5 25.93% (+0.18)
Over 2.5 49.91% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 50.09% (+0.25)
Over 3.5 27.82% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 72.18% (+0.19)
Over 4.5 15.59% (-0.17)
Under 4.5 84.41% (+0.18)

First Half Winner

Malaga 32.84% (-0.24)
Draw 47.76% (+0.02)
Sporting Gijon 19.4% (+0.21)

Team To Score First

Malaga 56.53% (-0.04)
No Goal 7.39% (+0.06)
Sporting Gijon 36.08% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 54.08% (+0.05)
Equal 8 12.73% (-0.06)
Under 8 33.18% (-0.01)
Over 9 41.44% (+0.11)
Equal 9 12.65% (-0.05)
Under 9 45.92% (-0.05)
Over 10.5 30.04% (+0.15)
Under 10.5 69.96% (-0.16)

Malaga Goals

Over 1.5 48.28% (-0.33)
Under 1.5 51.72% (+0.33)
Over 2.5 22.16% (-0.27)
Under 2.5 77.84% (+0.28)
Over 3.5 8.16% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 91.84% (+0.14)

Sporting Gijon Goals

Over 0.5 58.44% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 41.56% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 25.02% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 74.98% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 8.13% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 91.87% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.03% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.97% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Malaga 51.79%
Draw 25.59%
Sporting Gijon 22.61%
Malaga
1-0 @ 11.82% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 9.32% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.11% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 5.08% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.05)
Other @ 7.94% (-0.13)
Total : 51.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.7% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.39% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.09% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.19% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.22% (-0.02)
Total : 25.59%
Sporting Gijon
0-1 @ 6.71% (+0.08)
1-2 @ 6.02% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 3.16% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 2%
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 22.61%

Head to Head

Segunda Division Gameweek 20
Jan 4, 2026 1.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Municipal El Molinón
  • Àlex Corredera 66' yellowcard
  • Brian Oliván 66' yellowcard
  • Dani Queipo 73' yellowcard
  • Juan Otero 81' yellowcard
  • goal Chupe 35'
  • goal Adrián Niño 58'
  • yellowcard Joaquín Muñoz 64'
  • yellowcard Rafa Rodríguez 64'
  • yellowcard Julen Lobete 86'
  • goal Julen Lobete 87'
  • yellowcard Eneko Jauregi 90'
  • yellowcard Juanpe 90'
Segunda Division Gameweek 40
May 17, 2025 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio La Rosaleda
  • 63' yellowcard
  • Carlos Francisco Puga Medina 63' yellowcard
  • Carlos Ruiz Rubio 67' goal
  • Carlos Ruiz Rubio 83' goal
  • Alex Pastor 84' yellowcard
  • Alex Pastor 89' yellowcard
  • goal Ferney Otero 59'
  • yellowcard 77'
  • yellowcard Jose Angel 90'+3'
Segunda Division Gameweek 21
Dec 21, 2024 5.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal El Molinon
  • Dani Queipo 39' yellowcard
  • Lander Olaetxea 54' yellowcard
  • Victor Campuzano 82' goal
  • Cesar Gelabert 85' yellowcard
  • Gaspar Campos 86' yellowcard
  • goal Roko Baturina 46'
  • yellowcard Julen Lobete 50'
  • yellowcard Carlos Francisco Puga Medina 63'
  • goal Dioni 86'
  • goal Dioni 90'+4'
Segunda Division Gameweek 25
Jan 29, 2023 5.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT El Molinón
Segunda Division Gameweek 15
Nov 6, 2022 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio La Rosaleda
  • Juande 86' goal
  • goal Cristo 32'
Segunda Division Gameweek 23
Jan 9, 2022 5.15pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Kevin Medina 15' yellowcard
  • Alberto Escassi 19' yellowcard
  • Brandon 30' goal
  • Ramon Enriquez 67' yellowcard
  • Dani Martin 85' yellowcard
  • Ramon Enriquez 87' goal
  • Jozabed 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juan Berrocal 9'
  • goal Uros Durdevic 16'
  • yellowcard Pedro Diaz 24'
  • goal Vasyl Kravets 41'
  • yellowcard Jean-Sylvain Babin 61'
  • yellowcard Nacho Mendez 73'
  • yellowcard Vasyl Kravets 81'
  • yellowcard Jose Luis Rodriguez 90'+2'