Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 43.39%. A draw had a probability of 28.36% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 28.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%) , while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.