Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 46.7%. A draw had a probability of 27.41% and a win for Cultural Leonesa had a probability of 25.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%) , while for a Cultural Leonesa win it was 0-1 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.