Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Cultural Leonesa had a probability of 32.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.08%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Cultural Leonesa win was 2-1 (8.05%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.