Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 37.65%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 28.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Almeria win was 0-1 (10.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.