Segunda Division Gameweek 39
May 9, 2026 3.15pm
Estadio Municipal de El Plantío

Burgos vs Almeria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Burgos

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
May 3, 2026 5.30pm
Real Sociedad B 0 - 0 Burgos
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Fer Niño

Almeria

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
May 4, 2026 7.30pm
Almeria 4 - 2 Mirandes
Goals scored
74
Top scorer
Sergio Arribas

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Burgos win with a probability of 37.65%. A win for Almeria has a probability of 34.2% and a draw has a probability of 28.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Almeria win is 0-1 (10.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.6%).

Result

Burgos 37.65% (+0.04)
Draw 28.11%
Almeria 34.2% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.13% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.63% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 30.37% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 43.5% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 56.5% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 22.2% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 77.8% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 11.19% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 88.81% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Burgos 27.78%
Draw 45.85% (+0.01)
Almeria 26.37% (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Burgos 45.43% (+0.04)
No Goal 9.06%
Almeria 45.51% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 51.39%
Equal 8 12.76%
Under 8 35.85%
Over 9 39.03%
Equal 9 12.37%
Under 9 48.61%
Over 10.5 28.11%
Under 10.5 71.89%

Burgos Goals

Over 1.5 33.94% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 66.06% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 12.29% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 87.71% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 3.44%
Under 3.5 96.56%

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5 66.85% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 33.15% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 31.53% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 68.47% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 10.96% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 89.04% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 3.04% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.96% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Burgos 37.65%
Draw 28.1%
Almeria 34.21%
Burgos
1-0 @ 11.15% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.29%
2-0 @ 6.69% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.31%
3-0 @ 2.8%
3-2 @ 2% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 37.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.6%
0-0 @ 9.06%
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.03%
Total : 28.1%
Almeria
0-1 @ 10.12% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 8.06% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.84% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.03% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.15% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2%
Other @ 3.01% (-0.03)
Total : 34.21%

Head to Head

Segunda Division
Dec 14, 2025 5.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Thalys Henrique Gomes de Araújo 38' yellowcard
  • Thalys Henrique Gomes de Araújo 39' yellowcard
  • Thalys Henrique Gomes de Araújo 45'+2' goal
  • Leo Baptistao 82' yellowcard
  • Alex Munoz 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Miguel Atienza 27'
  • yellowcard Florian Miguel 33'
  • yellowcard Mateo Mejia 33'
  • goal Ivan Morante 39'
  • goal Curro 58'
Segunda Division Gameweek 32
Mar 21, 2025 7.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Municipal de El Plantio
  • Marcelo Exposito Jimenez 9' goal
  • Aitor Cordoba 42' yellowcard
  • Marcelo Exposito Jimenez 60' yellowcard
  • Fernando Nino 67' goal
  • Curro 70' yellowcard
  • Inigo Cordoba 84' goal
  • Anderson Arroyo 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Ander Cantero 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kaiky Fernandes 16'
  • goal Gonzalo Melero 30'
  • yellowcard Lucas Robertone 32'
  • yellowcard Arnau Puigmal 56'
  • yellowcard Lazaro 90'+1'
Segunda Division Gameweek 8
Oct 5, 2024 5.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Anexo Estadio de los Juegos del Mediterraneo
  • Luis Suarez Charris 29' goal
  • Sergio Arribas 31' yellowcard
  • Sergio Arribas 38' redcard
  • Nico 51' yellowcard
  • Luis Suarez Charris 53' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Pozo 89' goal
  • yellowcard David Gonzalez Ballesteros 55'
  • yellowcard Aitor Cordoba 56'
Segunda Division Gameweek 38
Apr 30, 2022 7.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Grego 55' yellowcard
  • Unai Elgezabal 81' yellowcard
  • goal Lucas Robertone 17'
  • goal Grego 44' (OG)
  • yellowcard Lucas Robertone 53'
  • yellowcard Arnau Puigmal 87'
Segunda Division Gameweek 15
Nov 7, 2021 5.15pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jose Carlos Lazo 2' goal
  • Curro 62' yellowcard
  • Cesar de la Hoz 74' yellowcard
  • Umar Sadiq 80' yellowcard
  • Samu 89' yellowcard
  • Arnau Puigmal 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Unai Elgezabal 42'
  • yellowcard Michel Zabaco 48'
  • yellowcard Grego 51'
  • yellowcard Miki Munoz 63'
  • yellowcard Jose Antonio Caro 82'
  • yellowcard Juan Manuel Garcia 90'+3'