Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 43.16%. A win for Granada had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Granada win was 0-1 (8.13%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.