Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Cultural Leonesa had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Cultural Leonesa win was 1-0 (9.66%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.