Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 47%. A draw had a probability of 28.41% and a win for Cultural Leonesa had a probability of 24.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.52%) and 1-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%) , while for a Cultural Leonesa win it was 1-0 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.