Club Friendlies 3
Jul 15, 2026 6.30pm

Derio vs Athletic Bilbao - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Derio

Athletic Bilbao

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Derio has a probability of 31.51% and a draw has a probability of 26.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Athletic Bilbao win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Derio win is 1-0 (7.78%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.04%).

Result

Derio 31.51%
Draw 26.09% (-0.02)
Athletic Bilbao 42.4% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.48%

Goals

Over 1.5 76.29% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 23.71% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 52.82% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 47.18% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 31.05% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 68.95% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 17.81% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 82.19% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Derio 23.33% (-0.02)
Draw 45.76%
Athletic Bilbao 30.91% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Derio 40.41%
No Goal 6.87% (+0.01)
Athletic Bilbao 52.72% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 51.22%
Equal 8 11.93%
Under 8 36.85%
Over 9 39.67%
Equal 9 11.55%
Under 9 48.78%
Over 10.5 29.39%
Under 10.5 70.61%

Derio Goals

Over 1.5 33.93% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 66.07% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 12.89% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 87.11% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 4.24% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.76% (+0.02)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5 74.69% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 25.31% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 42.76% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 57.24% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 19.2% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 80.8% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 7.33%
Under 3.5 92.67%

Score analysis

Derio 31.51%
Draw 26.1%
Athletic Bilbao 42.39%
Derio
1-0 @ 7.78% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 7.54%
2-0 @ 4.81% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.29%
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.87%
Other @ 3.98% (-0.02)
Total : 31.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.04% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.87% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.68%
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 26.1%
Athletic Bilbao
0-1 @ 9.06% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 9.01%
0-2 @ 6.63% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.26% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.35%
2-3 @ 3.01% (-0.02)
Other @ 7.07%
Total : 42.39%