Club Friendlies 3
Jul 15, 2026 6.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Robert Navarro 52'
  • goal Oihan Sancet 56'
  • goal Robert Navarro 80'

Derio vs Athletic Bilbao - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Derio

Athletic Bilbao

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Derio had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Athletic Bilbao win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.05%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Derio win was 1-0 (7.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result

Derio 31.65% (+0.14)
Draw 26.01% (-0.08)
Athletic Bilbao 42.39% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.45% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.38% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 23.62% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 52.93% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 47.07% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 31.01% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 68.99% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 17.78% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 82.22% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Derio 23.41% (+0.09)
Draw 45.65% (-0.11)
Athletic Bilbao 30.94% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Derio 40.41%
No Goal 6.83% (-0.05)
Athletic Bilbao 52.76% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 51.42% (+0.21)
Equal 8 11.94% (+0.01)
Under 8 36.65% (-0.21)
Over 9 39.84% (+0.18)
Equal 9 11.57% (+0.02)
Under 9 48.58% (-0.21)
Over 10.5 29.53% (+0.15)
Under 10.5 70.47% (-0.15)

Derio Goals

Over 1.5 34.03% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 65.97% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 12.93% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 87.07% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 4.27% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 95.73% (-0.04)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5 74.68% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 25.32% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 42.72% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 57.28% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 19.15% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 80.85% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 7.26% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 92.74% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Derio 31.65%
Draw 26.01%
Athletic Bilbao 42.39%
Derio
1-0 @ 7.79% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.59% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 4.82% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.29%
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.9% (+0.03)
Other @ 4.03% (+0.06)
Total : 31.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.03% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.83% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.67% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.24% (-0.03)
Total : 26.01%
Athletic Bilbao
1-2 @ 9.07% (+0.07)
0-1 @ 9.05% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.6% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 4.27% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.36% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.02% (+0.02)
Other @ 7.02% (-0.06)
Total : 42.39%